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icon for エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)

エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)

icon for エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)

エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)

スーパーボウルLXハーフタイムショー(主演:バッド・バニー) 82.5%

オスカー 11.2%

ゴールデン・グローブ賞 4.0%

トニー賞 3.5%

Polymarket

$52,133 Vol.

スーパーボウルLXハーフタイムショー(主演:バッド・バニー) 82.5%

オスカー 11.2%

ゴールデン・グローブ賞 4.0%

トニー賞 3.5%

Polymarket

$52,133 Vol.

スーパーボウルLXハーフタイムショー(主演:バッド・バニー)

$42,387 Vol.

83%

オスカー

$5,701 Vol.

11%

ゴールデン・グローブ賞

$1,304 Vol.

4%

トニー賞

$1,701 Vol.

4%

グラミー賞

$1,041 Vol.

3%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$52,133
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$52,133
終了日
2026/09/14
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「スーパーボウルLXハーフタイムショー(主演:バッド・バニー)」で83%、次いで「オスカー」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、83¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に83%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)」は$52.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)」の現在のフロントランナーは「スーパーボウルLXハーフタイムショー(主演:バッド・バニー)」で83%であり、市場がこの結果に83%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オスカー」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エミー賞2026 :傑出したバラエティスペシャル(ライブ)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。