Tom Pelphrey’s frontrunner status at 47.5% implied probability stems from widespread critical acclaim for his layered, empathetic turn as a conflicted criminal father in HBO’s “Task,” which generated late momentum during final voting and positioned him as a compelling individual standout. Trader consensus reflects concerns over vote-splitting among “The Pitt”’s three nominees—Patrick Ball at 34%, Shawn Hatosy at 12.7%, and Gerran Howell at 0.9%—despite the medical drama’s dominant 25 nominations and Best Drama Series lead. Billy Crudup’s 5.3% draws on his prior win and veteran appeal, while Jack Lowden and Carlos-Manuel Vesga trail on established acclaim and fresh recognition, respectively. The September 14 ceremony leaves room for last-minute guild signals or narrative shifts to influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 :ドラマシリーズの傑出した助演男優
トム・ペルフリー – 「タスク」 46%
パトリック・ボール – 「ザ・ピット」 34%
ショーン・ハトシー – 「ザ・ピット」 13.9%
ビリー・クラダップ – 「ザ・モーニングショー」 5.3%
$35,117 Vol.
$35,117 Vol.
トム・ペルフリー – 「タスク」
46%
パトリック・ボール – 「ザ・ピット」
34%
ショーン・ハトシー – 「ザ・ピット」
14%
ビリー・クラダップ – 「ザ・モーニングショー」
5%
ジャック・ロウデン – 「スロウ・ホース」
4%
カルロス=マヌエル・ヴェスガ – 「プルリバス」
2%
ゲラン・ハウェル – 「ザ・ピット」
1%
トム・ペルフリー – 「タスク」 46%
パトリック・ボール – 「ザ・ピット」 34%
ショーン・ハトシー – 「ザ・ピット」 13.9%
ビリー・クラダップ – 「ザ・モーニングショー」 5.3%
$35,117 Vol.
$35,117 Vol.
トム・ペルフリー – 「タスク」
46%
パトリック・ボール – 「ザ・ピット」
34%
ショーン・ハトシー – 「ザ・ピット」
14%
ビリー・クラダップ – 「ザ・モーニングショー」
5%
ジャック・ロウデン – 「スロウ・ホース」
4%
カルロス=マヌエル・ヴェスガ – 「プルリバス」
2%
ゲラン・ハウェル – 「ザ・ピット」
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Tom Pelphrey’s frontrunner status at 47.5% implied probability stems from widespread critical acclaim for his layered, empathetic turn as a conflicted criminal father in HBO’s “Task,” which generated late momentum during final voting and positioned him as a compelling individual standout. Trader consensus reflects concerns over vote-splitting among “The Pitt”’s three nominees—Patrick Ball at 34%, Shawn Hatosy at 12.7%, and Gerran Howell at 0.9%—despite the medical drama’s dominant 25 nominations and Best Drama Series lead. Billy Crudup’s 5.3% draws on his prior win and veteran appeal, while Jack Lowden and Carlos-Manuel Vesga trail on established acclaim and fresh recognition, respectively. The September 14 ceremony leaves room for last-minute guild signals or narrative shifts to influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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