Jean Smart’s dominant 91.1% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflect her unbroken streak of four prior wins as Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, the HBO Max series’ fifth and final season, and its record 24 nominations. Emmy voters have consistently rewarded the performance across eligibility windows, and the show’s farewell campaign has generated strong guild and critics momentum. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* (6.2%) draws sentimental support for its critically praised work, while Ayo Edebiri, Elle Fanning, and Quinta Brunson sit at low single digits amid competition from established frontrunners. The September 14 ceremony leaves little time for late shifts, though an unexpected voter preference for a non-*Hacks* swan song remains the primary upset scenario.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.1%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.0%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
$34,590 Vol.
$34,590 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
6%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.1%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.0%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
$34,590 Vol.
$34,590 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
6%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s dominant 91.1% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflect her unbroken streak of four prior wins as Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, the HBO Max series’ fifth and final season, and its record 24 nominations. Emmy voters have consistently rewarded the performance across eligibility windows, and the show’s farewell campaign has generated strong guild and critics momentum. Lisa Kudrow’s return in *The Comeback* (6.2%) draws sentimental support for its critically praised work, while Ayo Edebiri, Elle Fanning, and Quinta Brunson sit at low single digits amid competition from established frontrunners. The September 14 ceremony leaves little time for late shifts, though an unexpected voter preference for a non-*Hacks* swan song remains the primary upset scenario.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問