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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?

800-839 8.8%

920-959 7.5%

840-879 6.4%

880-919 6.3%

Polymarket

$242,343 Vol.

800-839 8.8%

920-959 7.5%

840-879 6.4%

880-919 6.3%

Polymarket

$242,343 Vol.

<20

$27,127 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$5,932 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$280 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$4,475 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$2,277 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$2,551 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$1,395 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$1,292 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$2,358 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$2,688 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$4,110 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$5,733 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$6,578 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$12,124 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$10,890 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$4,744 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$5,068 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$10,988 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$12,524 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$8,911 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$9,428 Vol.

1%

440-459

$8,999 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$8,765 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$3,451 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$4,019 Vol.

1%

520-539

$4,810 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$4,574 Vol.

1%

560-579

$4,961 Vol.

1%

580-599

$3,621 Vol.

2%

600-639

$3,066 Vol.

3%

640-679

$4,694 Vol.

4%

680-719

$3,048 Vol.

5%

720-759

$2,553 Vol.

5%

760-799

$2,339 Vol.

6%

800-839

$5,397 Vol.

9%

840-879

$2,796 Vol.

6%

880-919

$3,115 Vol.

6%

920-959

$2,434 Vol.

8%

960-999

$2,115 Vol.

5%

1000-1039

$2,414 Vol.

5%

1040-1079

$2,114 Vol.

4%

1080-1119

$2,847 Vol.

3%

1120-1159

$2,752 Vol.

3%

1160-1199

$2,181 Vol.

2%

1200-1239

$2,130 Vol.

2%

1240-1279

$1,669 Vol.

2%

1280-1319

$2,016 Vol.

2%

1320-1359

$2,025 Vol.

1%

1360-1399

$1,975 Vol.

1%

1400+

$2,591 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market for Elon Musk's July 2026 tweet volume reflects broad uncertainty, with the leading 800-839 and 920-959 bins holding only single-digit shares amid dozens of close alternatives. Daily posting rates around 25-30 tweets appear most plausible to traders, driven by routine X platform activity, company announcements from Tesla and SpaceX, and any xAI milestones or policy-related statements. Key differentiators include the pace of business updates versus personal or geopolitical commentary, as well as time allocated to operational roles that could either boost or suppress output. Scheduled events such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or platform-wide trends could consolidate volume in one range by prompting sustained engagement or temporary restraint over the 31-day window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$242,343
終了日
2026/08/01
マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market for Elon Musk's July 2026 tweet volume reflects broad uncertainty, with the leading 800-839 and 920-959 bins holding only single-digit shares amid dozens of close alternatives. Daily posting rates around 25-30 tweets appear most plausible to traders, driven by routine X platform activity, company announcements from Tesla and SpaceX, and any xAI milestones or policy-related statements. Key differentiators include the pace of business updates versus personal or geopolitical commentary, as well as time allocated to operational roles that could either boost or suppress output. Scheduled events such as product launches, regulatory hearings, or platform-wide trends could consolidate volume in one range by prompting sustained engagement or temporary restraint over the 31-day window.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$242,343
終了日
2026/08/01
マーケット開始日
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の51+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「800-839」で9%、次いで「920-959」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?」は$242.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている51+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のリーダーは「800-839」でわずか9%、「920-959」が8%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年7月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。