John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation, maintaining an active leadership role through mid-2026 with no reported signals of resignation or removal. Recent developments include his late August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to convey warnings on NATO security, Iran support, and Ukraine negotiations, followed by preparations for an expanded diplomatic role in Russia-Ukraine talks as of early September. The director has also advanced internal reforms, including accelerated technology acquisitions, AI integration, mission center reorganizations, and workforce adjustments aligned with administration priorities. These factors, combined with consistent White House engagement and absence of confirmation or confirmation-hearing disputes, underpin trader consensus that Ratcliffe will remain in the position through December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
10% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
10% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation, maintaining an active leadership role through mid-2026 with no reported signals of resignation or removal. Recent developments include his late August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to convey warnings on NATO security, Iran support, and Ukraine negotiations, followed by preparations for an expanded diplomatic role in Russia-Ukraine talks as of early September. The director has also advanced internal reforms, including accelerated technology acquisitions, AI integration, mission center reorganizations, and workforce adjustments aligned with administration priorities. These factors, combined with consistent White House engagement and absence of confirmation or confirmation-hearing disputes, underpin trader consensus that Ratcliffe will remain in the position through December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
音量
$1,482終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation, maintaining an active leadership role through mid-2026 with no reported signals of resignation or removal. Recent developments include his late August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to convey warnings on NATO security, Iran support, and Ukraine negotiations, followed by preparations for an expanded diplomatic role in Russia-Ukraine talks as of early September. The director has also advanced internal reforms, including accelerated technology acquisitions, AI integration, mission center reorganizations, and workforce adjustments aligned with administration priorities. These factors, combined with consistent White House engagement and absence of confirmation or confirmation-hearing disputes, underpin trader consensus that Ratcliffe will remain in the position through December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,482終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation, maintaining an active leadership role through mid-2026 with no reported signals of resignation or removal. Recent developments include his late August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to convey warnings on NATO security, Iran support, and Ukraine negotiations, followed by preparations for an expanded diplomatic role in Russia-Ukraine talks as of early September. The director has also advanced internal reforms, including accelerated technology acquisitions, AI integration, mission center reorganizations, and workforce adjustments aligned with administration priorities. These factors, combined with consistent White House engagement and absence of confirmation or confirmation-hearing disputes, underpin trader consensus that Ratcliffe will remain in the position through December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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