Recent statements from the Kremlin on June 9 indicate no plans for a Trump-Putin telephone call or immediate bilateral summit, with Ukraine mediation efforts currently on hold following the leaders' 2025 Anchorage meeting. This lack of scheduled diplomatic engagement supports trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end. Putin continues referencing prior U.S.-brokered compromises on Ukraine without advancing new bilateral talks, while U.S. officials maintain contacts through envoys amid broader foreign policy priorities. These factors sustain elevated implied probabilities for neutral or third-country venues like China if diplomacy resumes, though stalled progress and procedural hurdles limit near-term shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年にトランプ大統領とプーチン大統領が次に会うのはどこですか?
12月31日までに会談なし 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

12月31日までに会談なし
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
12月31日までに会談なし 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.

12月31日までに会談なし
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent statements from the Kremlin on June 9 indicate no plans for a Trump-Putin telephone call or immediate bilateral summit, with Ukraine mediation efforts currently on hold following the leaders' 2025 Anchorage meeting. This lack of scheduled diplomatic engagement supports trader consensus favoring no meeting by year-end. Putin continues referencing prior U.S.-brokered compromises on Ukraine without advancing new bilateral talks, while U.S. officials maintain contacts through envoys amid broader foreign policy priorities. These factors sustain elevated implied probabilities for neutral or third-country venues like China if diplomacy resumes, though stalled progress and procedural hurdles limit near-term shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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