Recent diplomatic signals have elevated China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin meeting. Kremlin aides have stated that both leaders discussed a possible trilateral gathering with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, scheduled for November 18-19, with Putin and Xi expected to attend. Trump and Putin’s September 8 phone call focused on Ukraine peace efforts and restoring bilateral ties, following U.S. envoys’ visits to Moscow and Kyiv, but produced no firm commitments on location or timing. The White House has not yet confirmed Trump’s APEC participation, contributing to the 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Other venues remain distant in trader assessments amid the emphasis on this multilateral opportunity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日China 57%
12月31日までに会談なし 35%
United States 3.3%
Russia 1.8%
$1,044,216 Vol.
$1,044,216 Vol.

China
57%

12月31日までに会談なし
35%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 57%
12月31日までに会談なし 35%
United States 3.3%
Russia 1.8%
$1,044,216 Vol.
$1,044,216 Vol.

China
57%

12月31日までに会談なし
35%

United States
3%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic signals have elevated China as the frontrunner for the next Trump-Putin meeting. Kremlin aides have stated that both leaders discussed a possible trilateral gathering with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, scheduled for November 18-19, with Putin and Xi expected to attend. Trump and Putin’s September 8 phone call focused on Ukraine peace efforts and restoring bilateral ties, following U.S. envoys’ visits to Moscow and Kyiv, but produced no firm commitments on location or timing. The White House has not yet confirmed Trump’s APEC participation, contributing to the 35% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end. Other venues remain distant in trader assessments amid the emphasis on this multilateral opportunity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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