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icon for トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?

トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?

icon for トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?

トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?

はい

14% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

14% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The confirmed July 28 White House meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu follows multiple rounds of phone diplomacy and earlier scheduling attempts that faced delays amid ongoing regional tensions, including Iran-related developments. Recent precedents show the leaders exchanging handshakes or brief side embraces during formal arrivals and Oval Office sessions rather than full hugs, consistent with standard diplomatic protocol for such bilateral engagements. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% “no” probability aligns with the low likelihood of deviation from these established greeting patterns during a structured summit focused on policy coordination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
音量
$780
終了日
2026/07/28
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.The confirmed July 28 White House meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu follows multiple rounds of phone diplomacy and earlier scheduling attempts that faced delays amid ongoing regional tensions, including Iran-related developments. Recent precedents show the leaders exchanging handshakes or brief side embraces during formal arrivals and Oval Office sessions rather than full hugs, consistent with standard diplomatic protocol for such bilateral engagements. Trader consensus reflected in the 87% “no” probability aligns with the low likelihood of deviation from these established greeting patterns during a structured summit focused on policy coordination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.

A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.

Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.

The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
音量
$780
終了日
2026/07/28
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify. A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug. Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプとネタニヤフは火曜日にハグしますか?」で14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 24, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプとネタニヤフは火曜日にハグしますか?」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領とネタニヤフ大統領は火曜日にハグしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。