Israel's government has advanced administrative integration of West Bank territory through February 2026 security cabinet decisions on land registration in Area C and expanded civilian ministry oversight, measures widely described as de facto consolidation without formal sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized settlement approvals and outposts while facing repeated U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including statements from the Trump administration emphasizing stability. International condemnation from dozens of states and bodies has highlighted risks to any two-state framework, reinforcing trader views that a Knesset vote declaring Israeli sovereignty remains unlikely before 2027 amid competing regional priorities such as Iran and Gaza. These developments sustain the 87.5 percent implied probability on "No," reflecting consensus that incremental policies will continue without crossing into formal annexation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$67,714 Vol.
$67,714 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$67,714 Vol.
$67,714 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has advanced administrative integration of West Bank territory through February 2026 security cabinet decisions on land registration in Area C and expanded civilian ministry oversight, measures widely described as de facto consolidation without formal sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized settlement approvals and outposts while facing repeated U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including statements from the Trump administration emphasizing stability. International condemnation from dozens of states and bodies has highlighted risks to any two-state framework, reinforcing trader views that a Knesset vote declaring Israeli sovereignty remains unlikely before 2027 amid competing regional priorities such as Iran and Gaza. These developments sustain the 87.5 percent implied probability on "No," reflecting consensus that incremental policies will continue without crossing into formal annexation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$67,714終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has advanced administrative integration of West Bank territory through February 2026 security cabinet decisions on land registration in Area C and expanded civilian ministry oversight, measures widely described as de facto consolidation without formal sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized settlement approvals and outposts while facing repeated U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including statements from the Trump administration emphasizing stability. International condemnation from dozens of states and bodies has highlighted risks to any two-state framework, reinforcing trader views that a Knesset vote declaring Israeli sovereignty remains unlikely before 2027 amid competing regional priorities such as Iran and Gaza. These developments sustain the 87.5 percent implied probability on "No," reflecting consensus that incremental policies will continue without crossing into formal annexation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$67,714終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's government has advanced administrative integration of West Bank territory through February 2026 security cabinet decisions on land registration in Area C and expanded civilian ministry oversight, measures widely described as de facto consolidation without formal sovereignty. Prime Minister Netanyahu has prioritized settlement approvals and outposts while facing repeated U.S. opposition to explicit annexation, including statements from the Trump administration emphasizing stability. International condemnation from dozens of states and bodies has highlighted risks to any two-state framework, reinforcing trader views that a Knesset vote declaring Israeli sovereignty remains unlikely before 2027 amid competing regional priorities such as Iran and Gaza. These developments sustain the 87.5 percent implied probability on "No," reflecting consensus that incremental policies will continue without crossing into formal annexation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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