Israeli government actions since early 2026 emphasize de facto consolidation of control in the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration reforms in Area C, and military seizure orders extending into Areas A and B, rather than a formal declaration of sovereignty. Finance Minister Smotrich and coalition partners have advanced these administrative and infrastructure measures, including recent July 2026 confiscations near Jenin and E1 plan tenders, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has postponed explicit annexation legislation amid U.S. opposition and regional diplomatic constraints. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no formal annexation before 2027 reflects the absence of binding Knesset votes or cabinet sovereignty declarations to date. Late-cycle coalition pressures or shifts in U.S. policy could still prompt a targeted move on specific blocs within the remaining months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
5% 確率
$90,541 Vol.
$90,541 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
5% 確率
$90,541 Vol.
$90,541 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions since early 2026 emphasize de facto consolidation of control in the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration reforms in Area C, and military seizure orders extending into Areas A and B, rather than a formal declaration of sovereignty. Finance Minister Smotrich and coalition partners have advanced these administrative and infrastructure measures, including recent July 2026 confiscations near Jenin and E1 plan tenders, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has postponed explicit annexation legislation amid U.S. opposition and regional diplomatic constraints. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no formal annexation before 2027 reflects the absence of binding Knesset votes or cabinet sovereignty declarations to date. Late-cycle coalition pressures or shifts in U.S. policy could still prompt a targeted move on specific blocs within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
音量
$90,541終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli government actions since early 2026 emphasize de facto consolidation of control in the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration reforms in Area C, and military seizure orders extending into Areas A and B, rather than a formal declaration of sovereignty. Finance Minister Smotrich and coalition partners have advanced these administrative and infrastructure measures, including recent July 2026 confiscations near Jenin and E1 plan tenders, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has postponed explicit annexation legislation amid U.S. opposition and regional diplomatic constraints. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no formal annexation before 2027 reflects the absence of binding Knesset votes or cabinet sovereignty declarations to date. Late-cycle coalition pressures or shifts in U.S. policy could still prompt a targeted move on specific blocs within the remaining months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$90,541終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Israeli government actions since early 2026 emphasize de facto consolidation of control in the West Bank through expanded settlement approvals, land registration reforms in Area C, and military seizure orders extending into Areas A and B, rather than a formal declaration of sovereignty. Finance Minister Smotrich and coalition partners have advanced these administrative and infrastructure measures, including recent July 2026 confiscations near Jenin and E1 plan tenders, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has postponed explicit annexation legislation amid U.S. opposition and regional diplomatic constraints. Trader consensus at 95.5% for no formal annexation before 2027 reflects the absence of binding Knesset votes or cabinet sovereignty declarations to date. Late-cycle coalition pressures or shifts in U.S. policy could still prompt a targeted move on specific blocs within the remaining months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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