Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by the Palestinian issue and regional tensions, with Saudi Arabia and several OIC members conditioning any recognition on progress toward Palestinian statehood. As of mid-2026, Israel holds formal ties with roughly 164 UN members following limited Abraham Accords expansions, including Kazakhstan's 2025 entry and Somaliland's pledge after Israel's December 2025 recognition of it. Recent US diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration, including May 2026 calls for mandatory Saudi, Qatari, and other accessions tied to Iran-related talks, has not yet produced breakthroughs amid stalled bilateral negotiations and domestic opposition in potential partner states. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include US-brokered summits, any Gaza or West Bank developments, and shifts in Iranian or Arab League positions that could alter timelines for additional recognitions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$65,998 Vol.

北朝鮮
5%

キューバ
11%

シリア
11%

バングラデシュ
9%

サウジアラビア
11%

レバノン
18%

アフガニスタン
7%

カタール
11%

イラク
7%

パキスタン
6%

ベネズエラ
19%

チュニジア
7%

クウェート
10%

インドネシア
12%

マレーシア
5%

イラン
9%
$65,998 Vol.

北朝鮮
5%

キューバ
11%

シリア
11%

バングラデシュ
9%

サウジアラビア
11%

レバノン
18%

アフガニスタン
7%

カタール
11%

イラク
7%

パキスタン
6%

ベネズエラ
19%

チュニジア
7%

クウェート
10%

インドネシア
12%

マレーシア
5%

イラン
9%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by the Palestinian issue and regional tensions, with Saudi Arabia and several OIC members conditioning any recognition on progress toward Palestinian statehood. As of mid-2026, Israel holds formal ties with roughly 164 UN members following limited Abraham Accords expansions, including Kazakhstan's 2025 entry and Somaliland's pledge after Israel's December 2025 recognition of it. Recent US diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration, including May 2026 calls for mandatory Saudi, Qatari, and other accessions tied to Iran-related talks, has not yet produced breakthroughs amid stalled bilateral negotiations and domestic opposition in potential partner states. Key upcoming catalysts through year-end include US-brokered summits, any Gaza or West Bank developments, and shifts in Iranian or Arab League positions that could alter timelines for additional recognitions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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