Diplomatic strains from the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes have prompted several nations to downgrade ties, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since early 2026. South Africa's January action targeted only a chargé d'affaires, while Spain's March recall applied to its own envoy rather than Israel's. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access for expulsions produced no follow-through, and unverified claims such as Brazil's alleged April move were confirmed false. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks in mid-April signaled de-escalation, and economic and alliance considerations with Western partners continue to deter full ambassador expulsions through year-end, supporting the current 61% trader consensus on no such action by December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$28,988 Vol.
$28,988 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$28,988 Vol.
$28,988 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic strains from the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes have prompted several nations to downgrade ties, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since early 2026. South Africa's January action targeted only a chargé d'affaires, while Spain's March recall applied to its own envoy rather than Israel's. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access for expulsions produced no follow-through, and unverified claims such as Brazil's alleged April move were confirmed false. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks in mid-April signaled de-escalation, and economic and alliance considerations with Western partners continue to deter full ambassador expulsions through year-end, supporting the current 61% trader consensus on no such action by December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
音量
$28,988終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic strains from the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes have prompted several nations to downgrade ties, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since early 2026. South Africa's January action targeted only a chargé d'affaires, while Spain's March recall applied to its own envoy rather than Israel's. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access for expulsions produced no follow-through, and unverified claims such as Brazil's alleged April move were confirmed false. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks in mid-April signaled de-escalation, and economic and alliance considerations with Western partners continue to deter full ambassador expulsions through year-end, supporting the current 61% trader consensus on no such action by December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$28,988終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic strains from the Gaza conflict and Israel-Hezbollah clashes have prompted several nations to downgrade ties, yet no country has expelled an Israeli ambassador since early 2026. South Africa's January action targeted only a chargé d'affaires, while Spain's March recall applied to its own envoy rather than Israel's. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access for expulsions produced no follow-through, and unverified claims such as Brazil's alleged April move were confirmed false. US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks in mid-April signaled de-escalation, and economic and alliance considerations with Western partners continue to deter full ambassador expulsions through year-end, supporting the current 61% trader consensus on no such action by December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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