Skip to main content
icon for イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?

イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?

icon for イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?

イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?

$3,497,530 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$3,497,530 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$533,097 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia’s policy continues to tie formal diplomatic normalization with Israel to prior recognition of an independent Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in joint statements and ministry comments through mid-2026. President Prabowo Subianto has signaled openness by acknowledging Israel’s security needs at the UN and engaging indirectly via the Board of Peace and potential stabilization roles in Gaza, yet Jakarta has rejected direct talks absent Palestinian statehood progress. Quiet trade, security, and functional cooperation persist alongside OECD accession talks and a 2026 US trade agreement that could create indirect leverage. Broader catalysts remain tied to Gaza ceasefire implementation, two-state negotiations, and US diplomatic pressure, while domestic opinion and regional alignments continue to constrain movement toward full relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,497,530
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Indonesia’s policy continues to tie formal diplomatic normalization with Israel to prior recognition of an independent Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in joint statements and ministry comments through mid-2026. President Prabowo Subianto has signaled openness by acknowledging Israel’s security needs at the UN and engaging indirectly via the Board of Peace and potential stabilization roles in Gaza, yet Jakarta has rejected direct talks absent Palestinian statehood progress. Quiet trade, security, and functional cooperation persist alongside OECD accession talks and a 2026 US trade agreement that could create indirect leverage. Broader catalysts remain tied to Gaza ceasefire implementation, two-state negotiations, and US diplomatic pressure, while domestic opinion and regional alignments continue to constrain movement toward full relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,497,530
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Nov 11, 2025, 5:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で11%、次いで「2026年6月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?」は$3.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年6月30日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イスラエルとインドネシアは...によって関係を正常化しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。