Israeli ground operations remain focused south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon, where the IDF has seized strategic positions including Beaufort Ridge and areas near Nabatieh since crossing the river in late May. Early June US-brokered talks produced a conditional ceasefire renewal, with Israel committing to avoid strikes on Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in exchange for Hezbollah halting attacks, though Hezbollah rejected aspects of the deal demanding full Israeli withdrawal. Airstrikes and limited strikes on Beirut infrastructure have occurred previously, but no ground incursion into the capital has been reported amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and US pressure to contain escalation. Traders assess entry as unlikely in the near term absent a major violation or policy shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,991 Vol.

June 30
2%
$39,991 Vol.

June 30
2%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
マーケット開始日: May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations remain focused south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon, where the IDF has seized strategic positions including Beaufort Ridge and areas near Nabatieh since crossing the river in late May. Early June US-brokered talks produced a conditional ceasefire renewal, with Israel committing to avoid strikes on Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahiyeh) in exchange for Hezbollah halting attacks, though Hezbollah rejected aspects of the deal demanding full Israeli withdrawal. Airstrikes and limited strikes on Beirut infrastructure have occurred previously, but no ground incursion into the capital has been reported amid ongoing diplomatic efforts and US pressure to contain escalation. Traders assess entry as unlikely in the near term absent a major violation or policy shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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