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icon for トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?

トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?

icon for トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?

トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?

はい

2% 確率
Polymarket

$20,960 Vol.

はい

2% 確率
Polymarket

$20,960 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has repeatedly declined direct U.S. military strikes on Houthi forces in Yemen despite Saudi requests, opting instead for intelligence sharing, targeting data, and partner-led operations amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea coast. This approach aligns with the broader focus on the ongoing Iran conflict, congressional war powers resolutions limiting executive action, and domestic pressures including midterm elections and elevated energy costs. U.S. officials have signaled no imminent plans for American combat involvement or new hostilities that would trigger a War Powers Resolution report. With the September 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus at 97.8% for “No” reflects these policy signals and the absence of catalysts for rapid escalation. Late developments such as a sudden Houthi attack on U.S. assets or a policy reversal could still shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,960
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s administration has repeatedly declined direct U.S. military strikes on Houthi forces in Yemen despite Saudi requests, opting instead for intelligence sharing, targeting data, and partner-led operations amid Houthi advances along the Red Sea coast. This approach aligns with the broader focus on the ongoing Iran conflict, congressional war powers resolutions limiting executive action, and domestic pressures including midterm elections and elevated energy costs. U.S. officials have signaled no imminent plans for American combat involvement or new hostilities that would trigger a War Powers Resolution report. With the September 30 deadline approaching, trader consensus at 97.8% for “No” reflects these policy signals and the absence of catalysts for rapid escalation. Late developments such as a sudden Houthi attack on U.S. assets or a policy reversal could still shift the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20,960
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは9月30日までにイエメンで戦時権限を発動するか?」で2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、2¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に2%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?」は$21Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプは9月30日までにイエメンで戦時権限を発動するか?」でわずか2%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は9月30日までにイエメンで戦争権力を行使しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。