Trader consensus favors the 2.2–2.5 million range for the free-market USD/IRR rate at end-September 2026 because recent street quotes have stabilized near 2.27–2.35 million amid ongoing economic pressures. Reduced oil exports, a naval blockade, severed UAE trade links, and intensified U.S. sanctions have constrained foreign-currency inflows and sustained high inflation, keeping the rial under pressure without triggering a further sharp spike in the final weeks of the month. Central Bank interventions have provided limited support but have not reversed the depreciation trend. With resolution imminent and no major new diplomatic or military catalysts reported in the past ten days, traders assign lower probability to moves above 2.5 million or below 2.2 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2,200,000~2,500,000 67%
2,500,000〜2,800,000 17%
2,200,000未満 14%
2,800,000~3,100,000 4.0%
$28,820 Vol.
$28,820 Vol.
2,200,000未満
14%
2,200,000~2,500,000
67%
2,500,000〜2,800,000
17%
2,800,000~3,100,000
4%
310万以上
1%
2,200,000~2,500,000 67%
2,500,000〜2,800,000 17%
2,200,000未満 14%
2,800,000~3,100,000 4.0%
$28,820 Vol.
$28,820 Vol.
2,200,000未満
14%
2,200,000~2,500,000
67%
2,500,000〜2,800,000
17%
2,800,000~3,100,000
4%
310万以上
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the 2.2–2.5 million range for the free-market USD/IRR rate at end-September 2026 because recent street quotes have stabilized near 2.27–2.35 million amid ongoing economic pressures. Reduced oil exports, a naval blockade, severed UAE trade links, and intensified U.S. sanctions have constrained foreign-currency inflows and sustained high inflation, keeping the rial under pressure without triggering a further sharp spike in the final weeks of the month. Central Bank interventions have provided limited support but have not reversed the depreciation trend. With resolution imminent and no major new diplomatic or military catalysts reported in the past ten days, traders assign lower probability to moves above 2.5 million or below 2.2 million.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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