**Recent US sanctions intensification and ongoing economic isolation have driven the Iranian rial to successive record lows near 2.07 million per USD in late August 2026, positioning further depreciation as the dominant trader consensus for end-September.** The free-market rate has climbed from roughly 1.53 million shortly after the February 2026 conflict onset and 1.7–1.8 million earlier in the year, fueled by a naval blockade restricting oil exports, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and measures hitting sectors including shipping, aviation, and digital assets. These steps follow the expiration of a temporary June sanctions-relief window without a broader nuclear or trade accord. Iran’s economy faces sharply reduced foreign-exchange earnings, double-digit inflation, and projected contraction, sustaining strong demand for USD amid limited official intervention capacity. With resolution only weeks away, traders assign the highest probability to rates above 2.2 million, reflecting expectations that enforcement momentum and structural export constraints will outweigh any short-term diplomatic signals before September closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日220万以上 63%
2,000,000〜2,100,000 16%
2,100,000〜2,200,000 11.3%
1,900,000～2,000,000 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
＜170万
1%
1,700,000～1,800,000
4%
1,800,000〜1,900,000
3%
1,900,000～2,000,000
7%
2,000,000〜2,100,000
16%
2,100,000〜2,200,000
11%
220万以上
63%
220万以上 63%
2,000,000〜2,100,000 16%
2,100,000〜2,200,000 11.3%
1,900,000～2,000,000 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
＜170万
$459 Vol.
1%
1,700,000～1,800,000
$385 Vol.
4%
1,800,000〜1,900,000
$378 Vol.
3%
1,900,000～2,000,000
$1,179 Vol.
7%
2,000,000〜2,100,000
$2,487 Vol.
16%
2,100,000〜2,200,000
$889 Vol.
11%
220万以上
$3,416 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Recent US sanctions intensification and ongoing economic isolation have driven the Iranian rial to successive record lows near 2.07 million per USD in late August 2026, positioning further depreciation as the dominant trader consensus for end-September.**
The free-market rate has climbed from roughly 1.53 million shortly after the February 2026 conflict onset and 1.7–1.8 million earlier in the year, fueled by a naval blockade restricting oil exports, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and measures hitting sectors including shipping, aviation, and digital assets. These steps follow the expiration of a temporary June sanctions-relief window without a broader nuclear or trade accord. Iran’s economy faces sharply reduced foreign-exchange earnings, double-digit inflation, and projected contraction, sustaining strong demand for USD amid limited official intervention capacity. With resolution only weeks away, traders assign the highest probability to rates above 2.2 million, reflecting expectations that enforcement momentum and structural export constraints will outweigh any short-term diplomatic signals before September closes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
音量
$9,192終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Recent US sanctions intensification and ongoing economic isolation have driven the Iranian rial to successive record lows near 2.07 million per USD in late August 2026, positioning further depreciation as the dominant trader consensus for end-September.**
The free-market rate has climbed from roughly 1.53 million shortly after the February 2026 conflict onset and 1.7–1.8 million earlier in the year, fueled by a naval blockade restricting oil exports, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and measures hitting sectors including shipping, aviation, and digital assets. These steps follow the expiration of a temporary June sanctions-relief window without a broader nuclear or trade accord. Iran’s economy faces sharply reduced foreign-exchange earnings, double-digit inflation, and projected contraction, sustaining strong demand for USD amid limited official intervention capacity. With resolution only weeks away, traders assign the highest probability to rates above 2.2 million, reflecting expectations that enforcement momentum and structural export constraints will outweigh any short-term diplomatic signals before September closes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$9,192終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:16 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Recent US sanctions intensification and ongoing economic isolation have driven the Iranian rial to successive record lows near 2.07 million per USD in late August 2026, positioning further depreciation as the dominant trader consensus for end-September.** The free-market rate has climbed from roughly 1.53 million shortly after the February 2026 conflict onset and 1.7–1.8 million earlier in the year, fueled by a naval blockade restricting oil exports, secondary sanctions targeting trade partners, and measures hitting sectors including shipping, aviation, and digital assets. These steps follow the expiration of a temporary June sanctions-relief window without a broader nuclear or trade accord. Iran’s economy faces sharply reduced foreign-exchange earnings, double-digit inflation, and projected contraction, sustaining strong demand for USD amid limited official intervention capacity. With resolution only weeks away, traders assign the highest probability to rates above 2.2 million, reflecting expectations that enforcement momentum and structural export constraints will outweigh any short-term diplomatic signals before September closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問