Recent U.S. inflation data, with April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year above expectations, has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance, supporting the dollar and pressuring EUR/USD near 1.17. The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.00% in April, citing balanced inflation risks near target, yet markets now price a growing chance of ECB tightening later in 2026 amid sticky energy costs. This policy divergence, alongside elevated Treasury yields and oil prices, shapes trader views on whether the pair can breach key levels by year-end. Key catalysts ahead include the June ECB meeting and June U.S. employment data, which could shift rate-cut probabilities and alter yield differentials.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$74,044 Vol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
11%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
24%
↑ 1.24
55%
↑ 1.22
55%
↑ 1.20
62%
↓ 1.14
78%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$74,044 Vol.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
11%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
24%
↑ 1.24
55%
↑ 1.22
55%
↑ 1.20
62%
↓ 1.14
78%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
マーケット開始日: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data, with April CPI rising 3.8% year-over-year above expectations, has reinforced expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance, supporting the dollar and pressuring EUR/USD near 1.17. The ECB held its deposit rate at 2.00% in April, citing balanced inflation risks near target, yet markets now price a growing chance of ECB tightening later in 2026 amid sticky energy costs. This policy divergence, alongside elevated Treasury yields and oil prices, shapes trader views on whether the pair can breach key levels by year-end. Key catalysts ahead include the June ECB meeting and June U.S. employment data, which could shift rate-cut probabilities and alter yield differentials.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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