Strong revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly and the recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation are anchoring trader expectations for an OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Market-implied odds reflect broad consensus on sustained AI demand and favorable sector multiples, even as the company targets a potential filing as soon as late 2026. Uncertainty around the exact timeline and any pre-IPO restructuring keeps a no-IPO-by-2027 scenario at a modest 19.5 percent probability, while lower valuation buckets remain thinly priced given the current trajectory and institutional backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.5兆ドル以上 68.1%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 20%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル 10.1%
7,500億~1兆 10%
$16,814 Vol.
$16,814 Vol.
5,000億未満
2%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
10%
7,500億~1兆
24%
1兆~1.25兆
15%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
7%
1.5兆ドル以上
68%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
20%
1.5兆ドル以上 68.1%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 20%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル 10.1%
7,500億~1兆 10%
$16,814 Vol.
$16,814 Vol.
5,000億未満
2%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
10%
7,500億~1兆
24%
1兆~1.25兆
15%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
7%
1.5兆ドル以上
68%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
20%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly and the recent $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation are anchoring trader expectations for an OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Market-implied odds reflect broad consensus on sustained AI demand and favorable sector multiples, even as the company targets a potential filing as soon as late 2026. Uncertainty around the exact timeline and any pre-IPO restructuring keeps a no-IPO-by-2027 scenario at a modest 19.5 percent probability, while lower valuation buckets remain thinly priced given the current trajectory and institutional backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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