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icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額

icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額

1.5兆ドル以上 37.6%

1.25兆〜1.5兆 25%

1兆~1.25兆 20.3%

2027年12月31日までに上場しない 10%

Polymarket

$90,303 Vol.

1.5兆ドル以上 37.6%

1.25兆〜1.5兆 25%

1兆~1.25兆 20.3%

2027年12月31日までに上場しない 10%

Polymarket

$90,303 Vol.

5,000億未満

$6,284 Vol.

1%

5,000億〜7,500億ドル

$8,357 Vol.

3%

7,500億~1兆

$9,333 Vol.

8%

1兆~1.25兆

$14,102 Vol.

20%

1.25兆〜1.5兆

$8,690 Vol.

25%

1.5兆ドル以上

$24,054 Vol.

38%

2027年12月31日までに上場しない

$19,483 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion funding round, paired with $24–25 billion annualized revenue run rate, underpins trader consensus for a closing market cap above $1.25 trillion. Enterprise revenue now exceeds 40% of total and continues scaling, even as overall growth has flattened near $2 billion monthly. The confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and pivot toward a 2027 listing—rather than late 2026—introduce modest timing uncertainty yet leave the probability of no IPO by end-2027 below 10%. These factors, combined with OpenAI’s ambition for a $1 trillion-plus debut and strong AI-sector multiples, drive the 37.6% implied probability on the 1.5T+ outcome while embedding realistic scenarios for lower ranges if losses widen or macro conditions tighten.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$90,303
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion funding round, paired with $24–25 billion annualized revenue run rate, underpins trader consensus for a closing market cap above $1.25 trillion. Enterprise revenue now exceeds 40% of total and continues scaling, even as overall growth has flattened near $2 billion monthly. The confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and pivot toward a 2027 listing—rather than late 2026—introduce modest timing uncertainty yet leave the probability of no IPO by end-2027 below 10%. These factors, combined with OpenAI’s ambition for a $1 trillion-plus debut and strong AI-sector multiples, drive the 37.6% implied probability on the 1.5T+ outcome while embedding realistic scenarios for lower ranges if losses widen or macro conditions tighten.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$90,303
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「1.5兆ドル以上」で38%、次いで「1.25兆〜1.5兆」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額」は$90.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額」の現在のフロントランナーは「1.5兆ドル以上」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1.25兆〜1.5兆」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。