OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,509,797 Vol.
$1,509,797 Vol.
2027/12/31
$800B
84%
$1T
73%
$1.2T
68%
$1.4T
41%
$1.6T
30%
$1,509,797 Vol.
$1,509,797 Vol.
2027/12/31
$800B
$102,405 Vol.
84%
$1T
$1,045,851 Vol.
73%
$1.2T
$248,622 Vol.
68%
$1.4T
$65,457 Vol.
41%
$1.6T
$47,462 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,509,797終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,509,797終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing on June 8, 2026, and its March private round at an $852 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for a late-2026 or early-2027 listing near or above $1 trillion. Strong institutional demand for AI exposure, evidenced by participation from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supports premium pricing, while revenue run rates approaching $20 billion contrast with projected 2026 losses exceeding $14 billion and breakeven not anticipated until 2029–2030. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside comparable IPO benchmarks such as SpaceX, with upcoming catalysts including SEC review timelines, macroeconomic conditions affecting tech multiples, and any pre-IPO tender offers that could reset the reference valuation before the closing market cap is determined.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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