OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 IPO rather than late-2026 listing reflect caution amid rapid private valuation growth to $852 billion post-money after its record $122 billion March 2026 round. Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand that now exceeds 40 percent of total, though GAAP losses remain substantial. Traders assessing closing market cap thresholds focus on whether sustained ARR expansion to $40-plus billion by mid-2027, AI product launches, and broader tech multiples can support or exceed the $1 trillion aspirational level discussed in banker conversations, versus dilution risks and competitive pressures from Anthropic and hyperscalers. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, earnings trajectory, and macroeconomic conditions affecting IPO windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
89%
1兆ドル
76%
1.2兆ドル
61%
1.4兆ドル
44%
1.6兆ドル
40%
$1,517,929 Vol.
$1,517,929 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
$106,210 Vol.
89%
1兆ドル
$1,046,720 Vol.
76%
1.2兆ドル
$248,684 Vol.
61%
1.4兆ドル
$67,569 Vol.
44%
1.6兆ドル
$48,746 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 IPO rather than late-2026 listing reflect caution amid rapid private valuation growth to $852 billion post-money after its record $122 billion March 2026 round. Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand that now exceeds 40 percent of total, though GAAP losses remain substantial. Traders assessing closing market cap thresholds focus on whether sustained ARR expansion to $40-plus billion by mid-2027, AI product launches, and broader tech multiples can support or exceed the $1 trillion aspirational level discussed in banker conversations, versus dilution risks and competitive pressures from Anthropic and hyperscalers. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, earnings trajectory, and macroeconomic conditions affecting IPO windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,517,929終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 IPO rather than late-2026 listing reflect caution amid rapid private valuation growth to $852 billion post-money after its record $122 billion March 2026 round. Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand that now exceeds 40 percent of total, though GAAP losses remain substantial. Traders assessing closing market cap thresholds focus on whether sustained ARR expansion to $40-plus billion by mid-2027, AI product launches, and broader tech multiples can support or exceed the $1 trillion aspirational level discussed in banker conversations, versus dilution risks and competitive pressures from Anthropic and hyperscalers. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, earnings trajectory, and macroeconomic conditions affecting IPO windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,517,929終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and subsequent shift toward a potential 2027 IPO rather than late-2026 listing reflect caution amid rapid private valuation growth to $852 billion post-money after its record $122 billion March 2026 round. Revenue has scaled to roughly $25 billion annualized run-rate, driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API demand that now exceeds 40 percent of total, though GAAP losses remain substantial. Traders assessing closing market cap thresholds focus on whether sustained ARR expansion to $40-plus billion by mid-2027, AI product launches, and broader tech multiples can support or exceed the $1 trillion aspirational level discussed in banker conversations, versus dilution risks and competitive pressures from Anthropic and hyperscalers. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on filing amendments, earnings trajectory, and macroeconomic conditions affecting IPO windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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