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icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？
財務·IPO

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？

icon for OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？
財務·IPO

OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？

Polymarket

$1,488,710 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,488,710 Vol.

8,000億ドル

$95,730 Vol.

70%

1兆ドル

$1,041,440 Vol.

60%

1.2兆ドル

$247,610 Vol.

57%

1.4兆ドル

$59,656 Vol.

55%

1.6兆ドル

$44,274 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Recent reports of OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar advocating a delay of the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027—citing missed revenue and user growth targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments—have fueled trader skepticism, with Polymarket implying a 73% probability of no listing by year-end. This contrasts CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline following the firm's March 2026 funding round, which closed $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Alphabet. Massive infrastructure costs and ongoing Elon Musk litigation, with a potential mid-May verdict, add execution risks. Traders eye an S-1 filing as the key catalyst to clarify the path to public markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,488,710
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Recent reports of OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar advocating a delay of the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027—citing missed revenue and user growth targets alongside $600 billion in compute commitments—have fueled trader skepticism, with Polymarket implying a 73% probability of no listing by year-end. This contrasts CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline following the firm's March 2026 funding round, which closed $122 billion at an $852 billion post-money valuation amid intensifying competition from Anthropic and Alphabet. Massive infrastructure costs and ongoing Elon Musk litigation, with a potential mid-May verdict, add execution risks. Traders eye an S-1 filing as the key catalyst to clarify the path to public markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,488,710
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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よくある質問

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「8,000億ドル」で70%、次いで「1兆ドル」が60%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」は$1.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 31, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「8,000億ドル」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「1兆ドル」で60%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAI IPOクロージング時価総額が___を超えていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。