NVIDIA’s commanding 60.5% implied probability of ending 2026 as the world’s largest company by market capitalization rests on its sustained leadership in AI semiconductors, with data-center revenue exceeding 90% of total sales and recent market-cap peaks above $5.2 trillion. Strong hyperscaler spending and Blackwell-ramp momentum have widened its edge over Alphabet, which holds 22% odds after narrowing the gap to under $500 billion on 63% Google Cloud growth and $190 billion planned 2026 capital expenditures. Apple’s 7.2% share reflects steady but slower iPhone-cycle performance, while Microsoft, Tesla, and others trail on lower valuation multiples and narrower AI exposure. Upcoming Q2 earnings releases and continued AI capital-expenditure trends remain the primary swing factors for these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NVIDIA 61%
アルファベット 22%
アップル 7.2%
スペースX 2.1%
$2,724,556 Vol.
$2,724,556 Vol.

NVIDIA
61%

アルファベット
22%

アップル
7%

スペースX
2%

マイクロソフト
1%

サウジアラムコ
1%

テスラ
1%

アマゾン
1%
NVIDIA 61%
アルファベット 22%
アップル 7.2%
スペースX 2.1%
$2,724,556 Vol.
$2,724,556 Vol.

NVIDIA
61%

アルファベット
22%

アップル
7%

スペースX
2%

マイクロソフト
1%

サウジアラムコ
1%

テスラ
1%

アマゾン
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...NVIDIA’s commanding 60.5% implied probability of ending 2026 as the world’s largest company by market capitalization rests on its sustained leadership in AI semiconductors, with data-center revenue exceeding 90% of total sales and recent market-cap peaks above $5.2 trillion. Strong hyperscaler spending and Blackwell-ramp momentum have widened its edge over Alphabet, which holds 22% odds after narrowing the gap to under $500 billion on 63% Google Cloud growth and $190 billion planned 2026 capital expenditures. Apple’s 7.2% share reflects steady but slower iPhone-cycle performance, while Microsoft, Tesla, and others trail on lower valuation multiples and narrower AI exposure. Upcoming Q2 earnings releases and continued AI capital-expenditure trends remain the primary swing factors for these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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