OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent decision to forgo a 2026 listing in favor of a potential 2027 debut to target at least $1 trillion have anchored trader sentiment around elevated IPO valuations. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, yet ongoing operating losses projected through 2029 contrast with rapid revenue growth and AI sector demand. Market-implied odds favor the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets because traders price in continued scaling and favorable public-market comparables, while acknowledging that any shortfall in revenue inflection or adverse AI equity sentiment could compress realized pricing toward the prior private mark. Anthropic’s anticipated October window offers a near-term benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 15.3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.5%
$128,435 Vol.
$128,435 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.9%
$2.5T+ 15.3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.5%
$128,435 Vol.
$128,435 Vol.
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
15%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
4%
$2.25T–$2.5T
7%
$2.5T+
15%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent decision to forgo a 2026 listing in favor of a potential 2027 debut to target at least $1 trillion have anchored trader sentiment around elevated IPO valuations. The company’s March 2026 private round set an $852 billion post-money valuation after raising $122 billion, yet ongoing operating losses projected through 2029 contrast with rapid revenue growth and AI sector demand. Market-implied odds favor the $1.5–2.0 trillion brackets because traders price in continued scaling and favorable public-market comparables, while acknowledging that any shortfall in revenue inflection or adverse AI equity sentiment could compress realized pricing toward the prior private mark. Anthropic’s anticipated October window offers a near-term benchmark.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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