Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8 percent, driven by energy price shocks amid ongoing Middle East tensions, has pushed market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end to near zero, reinforcing gold’s role as a hedge against persistent inflation and real-yield compression. Gold futures currently trade near $4,550 per ounce after a sharp early-2026 correction from January peaks above $5,500, reflecting profit-taking and firmer dollar strength. Institutional forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs still target averages near $5,000–$5,400 by December 2026, supported by sustained central-bank purchases averaging 60 tons monthly and private-sector diversification. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI release, which could clarify whether the current policy hold at 3.50–3.75 percent extends or gives way to modest easing later in the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ゴールド( GC )は12月末までに何に当たりますか?
$290,914 Vol.
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7,000
12%
↑ 6,000ドル
30%
$290,914 Vol.
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7,000
12%
↑ 6,000ドル
30%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
マーケット開始日: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8 percent, driven by energy price shocks amid ongoing Middle East tensions, has pushed market-implied odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end to near zero, reinforcing gold’s role as a hedge against persistent inflation and real-yield compression. Gold futures currently trade near $4,550 per ounce after a sharp early-2026 correction from January peaks above $5,500, reflecting profit-taking and firmer dollar strength. Institutional forecasts from J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs still target averages near $5,000–$5,400 by December 2026, supported by sustained central-bank purchases averaging 60 tons monthly and private-sector diversification. Key near-term catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI release, which could clarify whether the current policy hold at 3.50–3.75 percent extends or gives way to modest easing later in the year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問