Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have elevated IPO odds, yet secondary-market and Forge Global indications peg the company near an $8.5 billion valuation as of late June 2026—well below its 2021 $15 billion primary round. With roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users, traders price the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 50 percent implied probability, reflecting valuation compression, slower monetization progress, and the absence of a public S-1. The 44 percent pricing on both sub-$5 billion and higher brackets, alongside a 44 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027, underscores uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth or competitive pressures will support a premium multiple at debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日50億ドル未満 88%
50～80億ドル 88%
80〜110億 88%
110〜140億ドル 88%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
88%
50～80億ドル
88%
80〜110億
88%
110〜140億ドル
88%
140〜170億
88%
170〜200億ドル
88%
200億ドル以上
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
88%
50億ドル未満 88%
50～80億ドル 88%
80〜110億 88%
110〜140億ドル 88%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
50億ドル未満
$0 Vol.
88%
50～80億ドル
$0 Vol.
88%
80〜110億
$0 Vol.
88%
110〜140億ドル
$0 Vol.
88%
140〜170億
$0 Vol.
88%
170〜200億ドル
$0 Vol.
88%
200億ドル以上
$0 Vol.
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOなし
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have elevated IPO odds, yet secondary-market and Forge Global indications peg the company near an $8.5 billion valuation as of late June 2026—well below its 2021 $15 billion primary round. With roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users, traders price the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 50 percent implied probability, reflecting valuation compression, slower monetization progress, and the absence of a public S-1. The 44 percent pricing on both sub-$5 billion and higher brackets, alongside a 44 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027, underscores uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth or competitive pressures will support a premium multiple at debut.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have elevated IPO odds, yet secondary-market and Forge Global indications peg the company near an $8.5 billion valuation as of late June 2026—well below its 2021 $15 billion primary round. With roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users, traders price the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 50 percent implied probability, reflecting valuation compression, slower monetization progress, and the absence of a public S-1. The 44 percent pricing on both sub-$5 billion and higher brackets, alongside a 44 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027, underscores uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth or competitive pressures will support a premium multiple at debut.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
音量
$0終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s January 2026 confidential SEC filing and retention of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan as underwriters have elevated IPO odds, yet secondary-market and Forge Global indications peg the company near an $8.5 billion valuation as of late June 2026—well below its 2021 $15 billion primary round. With roughly $600–900 million in annual recurring revenue and 200 million-plus monthly active users, traders price the 8–11 billion closing market-cap bracket at 50 percent implied probability, reflecting valuation compression, slower monetization progress, and the absence of a public S-1. The 44 percent pricing on both sub-$5 billion and higher brackets, alongside a 44 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027, underscores uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth or competitive pressures will support a premium multiple at debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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