Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.8T+ 41%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.3%
0.9–1.2T 8.6%
$277,219 Vol.
$277,219 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
14%
1.2–1.5T
19%
1.5–1.8T
32%
1.8T+
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 41%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.3%
0.9–1.2T 8.6%
$277,219 Vol.
$277,219 Vol.
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
14%
1.2–1.5T
19%
1.5–1.8T
32%
1.8T+
41%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation with run-rate revenue reaching $47 billion, combined with its June 1 confidential IPO filing targeting an October Nasdaq listing, underpins the market’s 62% combined probability on the 1.5T+ brackets. Traders see continued Claude model momentum, hyperscaler partnerships, and secondary-market pricing at $1.05–1.15 trillion as supporting a meaningful IPO premium similar to recent mega-cap tech debuts. Forecasts point to median first-day or 90-day market caps near $1.1–1.14 trillion, while the low 5% odds of no IPO by end-2027 reflect the company’s advanced preparations and investor demand. Upcoming banker meetings and any further ARR updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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