Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion private valuation, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets that together command 62% implied probability. Rapid ARR growth to roughly $115 billion by mid-2027, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude models, plus secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion, support expectations of a first-day or 90-day post-IPO market cap well above the last private round. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google, and favorable AI-sector multiples reinforce the high-end tilt, while the low 5.6% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad conviction in a 2026 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include the timing of investor meetings and final pricing amid broader market absorption of large AI floats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.8T+ 38%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.1%
0.9–1.2T 7.6%
$268,143 Vol.
$268,143 Vol.
2027/12/31
<0.6T
3%
0.6–0.9T
3%
0.9–1.2T
8%
1.2–1.5T
19%
1.5–1.8T
25%
1.8T+
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
6%
1.8T+ 38%
1.5–1.8T 25.1%
1.2–1.5T 19.1%
0.9–1.2T 7.6%
$268,143 Vol.
$268,143 Vol.
2027/12/31
<0.6T
$16,923 Vol.
3%
0.6–0.9T
$22,239 Vol.
3%
0.9–1.2T
$20,746 Vol.
8%
1.2–1.5T
$21,970 Vol.
19%
1.5–1.8T
$23,757 Vol.
25%
1.8T+
$121,514 Vol.
38%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$40,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion private valuation, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets that together command 62% implied probability. Rapid ARR growth to roughly $115 billion by mid-2027, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude models, plus secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion, support expectations of a first-day or 90-day post-IPO market cap well above the last private round. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google, and favorable AI-sector multiples reinforce the high-end tilt, while the low 5.6% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad conviction in a 2026 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include the timing of investor meetings and final pricing amid broader market absorption of large AI floats.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
音量
$268,143終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion private valuation, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets that together command 62% implied probability. Rapid ARR growth to roughly $115 billion by mid-2027, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude models, plus secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion, support expectations of a first-day or 90-day post-IPO market cap well above the last private round. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google, and favorable AI-sector multiples reinforce the high-end tilt, while the low 5.6% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad conviction in a 2026 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include the timing of investor meetings and final pricing amid broader market absorption of large AI floats.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$268,143終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, following its $65 billion Series H round that set a $965 billion private valuation, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.8T+ and 1.5–1.8T brackets that together command 62% implied probability. Rapid ARR growth to roughly $115 billion by mid-2027, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude models, plus secondary-market bids near $1.05–1.15 trillion, support expectations of a first-day or 90-day post-IPO market cap well above the last private round. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, hyperscaler backing from Amazon and Google, and favorable AI-sector multiples reinforce the high-end tilt, while the low 5.6% probability of no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad conviction in a 2026 listing. Key upcoming catalysts include the timing of investor meetings and final pricing amid broader market absorption of large AI floats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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