Recent OpenAI AI agents solved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in early September 2026, prompting traders to reassess timelines for the remaining six problems and favoring “no solution by December 31, 2027” at 31.5% amid ongoing uncertainty over verification and generalization. Hodge Conjecture leads the specific outcomes at 26.5% because its algebraic geometry focus aligns with recent large language model strengths in formalization and conjecture exploration, while Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer sits at 19.5% on number-theoretic progress. Riemann Hypothesis trails at 13.5% despite August 2026 Anthropic advances on related zeta-function bounds, and P versus NP plus Yang-Mills remain lower at 7.5% and 7.2% given their deeper ties to computational hardness and physics. Key catalysts ahead include peer review of the Navier-Stokes proof, additional model releases, and any new AI-driven partial results in algebraic or arithmetic geometry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年12月31日までに解決なし 31%
ホッジ予想 27%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー 20%
リーマン予想 14%
2027年12月31日までに解決なし
31%
ホッジ予想
27%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー
20%
リーマン予想
14%
P対NP
7%
ヤン・ミルズ
7%
2027年12月31日までに解決なし 31%
ホッジ予想 27%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー 20%
リーマン予想 14%
2027年12月31日までに解決なし
31%
ホッジ予想
27%
バーチ・スウィンナートン=ダイアー
20%
リーマン予想
14%
P対NP
7%
ヤン・ミルズ
7%
If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No solution by Dec 31, 2027". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent OpenAI AI agents solved the Navier-Stokes Millennium Prize Problem in early September 2026, prompting traders to reassess timelines for the remaining six problems and favoring “no solution by December 31, 2027” at 31.5% amid ongoing uncertainty over verification and generalization. Hodge Conjecture leads the specific outcomes at 26.5% because its algebraic geometry focus aligns with recent large language model strengths in formalization and conjecture exploration, while Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer sits at 19.5% on number-theoretic progress. Riemann Hypothesis trails at 13.5% despite August 2026 Anthropic advances on related zeta-function bounds, and P versus NP plus Yang-Mills remain lower at 7.5% and 7.2% given their deeper ties to computational hardness and physics. Key catalysts ahead include peer review of the Navier-Stokes proof, additional model releases, and any new AI-driven partial results in algebraic or arithmetic geometry.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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