Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by fresh Bloomberg and New York Times reports from May 12 detailing early talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—potentially closing by month's end—following February's $30 billion raise at $380 billion post-money. Explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate by March, fueled by Claude large language model enterprise adoption and a lock on SpaceX's Colossus supercomputer capacity, has propelled pre-IPO secondary trading to $1 trillion-plus implied caps. No S-1 filing yet tempers the 11% no-IPO-by-2027 odds amid active preparations for a possible October public debut, though technical delays or regulatory hurdles in AI safety could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6000億ドル以上 88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 11%
4000億～6000億ドル 1.6%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
2027/12/31
1000億ドル未満
<1%
1000〜2000億ドル
<1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
<1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
<1%
4000億～6000億ドル
2%
6000億ドル以上
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
11%
6000億ドル以上 88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない 11%
4000億～6000億ドル 1.6%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル <1%
$297,523 Vol.
$297,523 Vol.
2027/12/31
1000億ドル未満
$138,181 Vol.
<1%
1000〜2000億ドル
$53,388 Vol.
<1%
2,000〜3,000億ドル
$8,864 Vol.
<1%
3,000億〜4,000億ドル
$60,093 Vol.
<1%
4000億～6000億ドル
$9,125 Vol.
2%
6000億ドル以上
$15,215 Vol.
88%
2027年12月31日までにIPOしない
$12,657 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by fresh Bloomberg and New York Times reports from May 12 detailing early talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—potentially closing by month's end—following February's $30 billion raise at $380 billion post-money. Explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate by March, fueled by Claude large language model enterprise adoption and a lock on SpaceX's Colossus supercomputer capacity, has propelled pre-IPO secondary trading to $1 trillion-plus implied caps. No S-1 filing yet tempers the 11% no-IPO-by-2027 odds amid active preparations for a possible October public debut, though technical delays or regulatory hurdles in AI safety could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
音量
$297,523終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by fresh Bloomberg and New York Times reports from May 12 detailing early talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—potentially closing by month's end—following February's $30 billion raise at $380 billion post-money. Explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate by March, fueled by Claude large language model enterprise adoption and a lock on SpaceX's Colossus supercomputer capacity, has propelled pre-IPO secondary trading to $1 trillion-plus implied caps. No S-1 filing yet tempers the 11% no-IPO-by-2027 odds amid active preparations for a possible October public debut, though technical delays or regulatory hurdles in AI safety could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$297,523終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 88% implied probability, driven by fresh Bloomberg and New York Times reports from May 12 detailing early talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation—potentially closing by month's end—following February's $30 billion raise at $380 billion post-money. Explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate by March, fueled by Claude large language model enterprise adoption and a lock on SpaceX's Colossus supercomputer capacity, has propelled pre-IPO secondary trading to $1 trillion-plus implied caps. No S-1 filing yet tempers the 11% no-IPO-by-2027 odds amid active preparations for a possible October public debut, though technical delays or regulatory hurdles in AI safety could shift dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問