Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年10月 63%
2026年11月 13%
2026年9月 10%
2027年2月 7%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
2026年9月
10%
2026年10月
63%
2026年11月
13%
2026年12月
5%
2027年1月
5%
2027年2月
7%
2027年3月
5%
2027年4月
4%
2027年5月
5%
2027年6月
6%
2027年7月
4%
2027年8月
4%
2027年9月
4%
2027年10月
1%
2027年11月
4%
2027年12月
4%
2028年以前に上場しない
4%
2026年10月 63%
2026年11月 13%
2026年9月 10%
2027年2月 7%
新規
新規
2027/12/31
2026年9月
$28 Vol.
10%
2026年10月
$117 Vol.
63%
2026年11月
$28 Vol.
13%
2026年12月
$28 Vol.
5%
2027年1月
$28 Vol.
5%
2027年2月
$28 Vol.
7%
2027年3月
$67 Vol.
5%
2027年4月
$28 Vol.
4%
2027年5月
$78 Vol.
5%
2027年6月
$78 Vol.
6%
2027年7月
$28 Vol.
4%
2027年8月
$28 Vol.
4%
2027年9月
$28 Vol.
4%
2027年10月
$28 Vol.
1%
2027年11月
$28 Vol.
4%
2027年12月
$28 Vol.
4%
2028年以前に上場しない
$28 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
音量
$704終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
音量
$704終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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