OpenAI’s pursuit of a potential $1 trillion valuation, supported by its March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion post-money and confidential June 2026 S-1 filing, underpins trader positioning around a $100B+ IPO raise as the leading outcome at 47% implied probability. Recent private funding momentum from investors including SoftBank, Nvidia, and Amazon, alongside strong user growth metrics, reinforces expectations for substantial proceeds once public. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements prioritizing AI safety and alignment work—explicitly ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 or later—introduce timing uncertainty that could compress near-term raise sizes or shift consensus if market conditions evolve. Upcoming catalysts include any updates on industry safety pacts or revised filing timelines, which may influence how traders weigh the $40B–$50B and sub-$30B tiers against the top bucket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$100B+ 41%
<$30B 25.3%
$80B–$90B 21.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
新規
新規
2027/12/30
<$30B
25%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
26%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
21%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
47%
$100B+ 41%
<$30B 25.3%
$80B–$90B 21.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
新規
新規
2027/12/30
<$30B
$603 Vol.
25%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
26%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
21%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$1,742 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a potential $1 trillion valuation, supported by its March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion post-money and confidential June 2026 S-1 filing, underpins trader positioning around a $100B+ IPO raise as the leading outcome at 47% implied probability. Recent private funding momentum from investors including SoftBank, Nvidia, and Amazon, alongside strong user growth metrics, reinforces expectations for substantial proceeds once public. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements prioritizing AI safety and alignment work—explicitly ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 or later—introduce timing uncertainty that could compress near-term raise sizes or shift consensus if market conditions evolve. Upcoming catalysts include any updates on industry safety pacts or revised filing timelines, which may influence how traders weigh the $40B–$50B and sub-$30B tiers against the top bucket.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$7,324終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s pursuit of a potential $1 trillion valuation, supported by its March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion post-money and confidential June 2026 S-1 filing, underpins trader positioning around a $100B+ IPO raise as the leading outcome at 47% implied probability. Recent private funding momentum from investors including SoftBank, Nvidia, and Amazon, alongside strong user growth metrics, reinforces expectations for substantial proceeds once public. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements prioritizing AI safety and alignment work—explicitly ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 or later—introduce timing uncertainty that could compress near-term raise sizes or shift consensus if market conditions evolve. Upcoming catalysts include any updates on industry safety pacts or revised filing timelines, which may influence how traders weigh the $40B–$50B and sub-$30B tiers against the top bucket.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,324終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s pursuit of a potential $1 trillion valuation, supported by its March 2026 private round at roughly $852 billion post-money and confidential June 2026 S-1 filing, underpins trader positioning around a $100B+ IPO raise as the leading outcome at 47% implied probability. Recent private funding momentum from investors including SoftBank, Nvidia, and Amazon, alongside strong user growth metrics, reinforces expectations for substantial proceeds once public. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements prioritizing AI safety and alignment work—explicitly ruling out a 2026 listing in favor of 2027 or later—introduce timing uncertainty that could compress near-term raise sizes or shift consensus if market conditions evolve. Upcoming catalysts include any updates on industry safety pacts or revised filing timelines, which may influence how traders weigh the $40B–$50B and sub-$30B tiers against the top bucket.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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