eBay's board rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion acquisition bid—valuing eBay at $125 per share in a cash-and-stock deal—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability of "No," reflecting deep skepticism over financing feasibility and strategic fit. GameStop's roughly $11 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion enterprise value, raising leverage risks and execution doubts amplified by CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC interview, after which GME shares fell 10%. Governance concerns and the bid's 20% premium to recent closes further eroded credibility, with even prominent investor Michael Burry exiting his position. Absent a sweetened offer or proxy fight success ahead of GameStop's annual meeting, deal barriers remain formidable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$832,201 Vol.
$832,201 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$832,201 Vol.
$832,201 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's board rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion acquisition bid—valuing eBay at $125 per share in a cash-and-stock deal—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability of "No," reflecting deep skepticism over financing feasibility and strategic fit. GameStop's roughly $11 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion enterprise value, raising leverage risks and execution doubts amplified by CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC interview, after which GME shares fell 10%. Governance concerns and the bid's 20% premium to recent closes further eroded credibility, with even prominent investor Michael Burry exiting his position. Absent a sweetened offer or proxy fight success ahead of GameStop's annual meeting, deal barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
音量
$832,201終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.eBay's board rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion acquisition bid—valuing eBay at $125 per share in a cash-and-stock deal—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability of "No," reflecting deep skepticism over financing feasibility and strategic fit. GameStop's roughly $11 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion enterprise value, raising leverage risks and execution doubts amplified by CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC interview, after which GME shares fell 10%. Governance concerns and the bid's 20% premium to recent closes further eroded credibility, with even prominent investor Michael Burry exiting his position. Absent a sweetened offer or proxy fight success ahead of GameStop's annual meeting, deal barriers remain formidable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$832,231終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...eBay's board rejection of GameStop's unsolicited $56 billion acquisition bid—valuing eBay at $125 per share in a cash-and-stock deal—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to an 84.5% implied probability of "No," reflecting deep skepticism over financing feasibility and strategic fit. GameStop's roughly $11 billion market cap pales against eBay's $48 billion enterprise value, raising leverage risks and execution doubts amplified by CEO Ryan Cohen's CNBC interview, after which GME shares fell 10%. Governance concerns and the bid's 20% premium to recent closes further eroded credibility, with even prominent investor Michael Burry exiting his position. Absent a sweetened offer or proxy fight success ahead of GameStop's annual meeting, deal barriers remain formidable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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