Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.9％以下 52.3%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5〜2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 Vol.
$36,520 Vol.
2027/01/22
1.9％以下
52%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5〜2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5〜3.9％
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
1.9％以下 52.3%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5〜2.9% 1.3%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$36,520 Vol.
$36,520 Vol.
2027/01/22
1.9％以下
$17,315 Vol.
52%
2.0-2.4%
$10,593 Vol.
44%
2.5〜2.9%
$5,149 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 Vol.
1%
3.5〜3.9％
$800 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$36,520終了日
2027/01/22マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
音量
$36,520終了日
2027/01/22マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent soft readings in Japan's core CPI, holding at 1.6% YoY through June 2026 and below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for multiple months, underpin the near-even split between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% buckets. Traders weigh the BOJ's lowered fiscal 2026 forecast range of 2.3-2.7% against persistent yen depreciation pressures, subdued energy costs after oil price declines, and still-modest wage pass-through. Core-core measures excluding fresh food and energy remain firmer near 1.7%, highlighting sticky domestic components that could push outcomes higher if import costs rebound or consumption strengthens. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, the next BOJ Outlook Report, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter inflation expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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