Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has climbed to 3.00% as of mid-September 2026, near 30-year highs, driven by elevated oil prices fueling inflation concerns, expectations for further Bank of Japan policy rate hikes toward 1.25%, and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi that raises term premium and prospective bond supply. Global factors, including elevated U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and broader bond-market pressures, have reinforced the upward move in JGB yields over recent weeks. With only months remaining until year-end 2026, these dynamics underpin the 66.3% market-implied probability for a 3.0%+ close, as trader capital reflects the sustained shift away from ultra-low rates amid sticky inflation and monetary normalization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 14.0%
2.2-2.4% 4.3%
2.6-2.8% 2.7%
$29,291 Vol.
$29,291 Vol.
2026/12/30
<2.0%
1%
2.0-2.2%
2%
2.2-2.4%
4%
2.4-2.6%
7%
2.6-2.8%
3%
2.8-3.0%
14%
3.0%+
66%
3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 14.0%
2.2-2.4% 4.3%
2.6-2.8% 2.7%
$29,291 Vol.
$29,291 Vol.
2026/12/30
<2.0%
$1,360 Vol.
1%
2.0-2.2%
$1,684 Vol.
2%
2.2-2.4%
$1,253 Vol.
4%
2.4-2.6%
$2,552 Vol.
7%
2.6-2.8%
$2,546 Vol.
3%
2.8-3.0%
$8,706 Vol.
14%
3.0%+
$11,189 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has climbed to 3.00% as of mid-September 2026, near 30-year highs, driven by elevated oil prices fueling inflation concerns, expectations for further Bank of Japan policy rate hikes toward 1.25%, and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi that raises term premium and prospective bond supply. Global factors, including elevated U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and broader bond-market pressures, have reinforced the upward move in JGB yields over recent weeks. With only months remaining until year-end 2026, these dynamics underpin the 66.3% market-implied probability for a 3.0%+ close, as trader capital reflects the sustained shift away from ultra-low rates amid sticky inflation and monetary normalization.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
音量
$29,291終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has climbed to 3.00% as of mid-September 2026, near 30-year highs, driven by elevated oil prices fueling inflation concerns, expectations for further Bank of Japan policy rate hikes toward 1.25%, and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi that raises term premium and prospective bond supply. Global factors, including elevated U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and broader bond-market pressures, have reinforced the upward move in JGB yields over recent weeks. With only months remaining until year-end 2026, these dynamics underpin the 66.3% market-implied probability for a 3.0%+ close, as trader capital reflects the sustained shift away from ultra-low rates amid sticky inflation and monetary normalization.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
音量
$29,291終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has climbed to 3.00% as of mid-September 2026, near 30-year highs, driven by elevated oil prices fueling inflation concerns, expectations for further Bank of Japan policy rate hikes toward 1.25%, and fiscal expansion under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi that raises term premium and prospective bond supply. Global factors, including elevated U.S. Treasury yields above 5% and broader bond-market pressures, have reinforced the upward move in JGB yields over recent weeks. With only months remaining until year-end 2026, these dynamics underpin the 66.3% market-implied probability for a 3.0%+ close, as trader capital reflects the sustained shift away from ultra-low rates amid sticky inflation and monetary normalization.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問