Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,890 Vol.
2026/12/31
June 30
1%
December 31
38%
$13,890 Vol.
June 30
$2,880 Vol.
1%
December 31
$11,010 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
音量
$13,890終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sanae Takaichi meets with Xi Jinping between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Takaichi and Jinping are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$13,890終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and Chinese President Xi Jinping last met on the sidelines of the October 2025 APEC summit in South Korea, agreeing to pursue stable bilateral ties, but no subsequent leader-level engagement has occurred amid a 2025–2026 diplomatic crisis sparked by Takaichi's Taiwan comments, prompting Chinese retaliation and demands for retraction. Recent U.S.-Japan coordination intensified as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent met Takaichi on May 12, 2026, ahead of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, focusing on supply chain resilience, rare earths, and Taiwan Strait stability, signaling Tokyo's hawkish posture. With no scheduled bilateral talks or summits like G20 on the horizon before December 31, trader consensus prices a modest 34% implied probability of another meeting by year-end, reflecting persistent tensions and absence of de-escalation signals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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