Zhang Youxia has remained under formal investigation by Chinese authorities since his January 2026 removal from the Central Military Commission over alleged serious violations of discipline and law, yet no trial date or sentencing has been announced as of mid-2026. Such high-level military probes in the People’s Liberation Army typically involve extended internal reviews, closed proceedings, and political negotiations that stretch well beyond immediate timelines, particularly for a 75-year-old former vice chairman viewed as a longtime Xi associate. Traders assess these procedural realities and historical patterns of delayed or non-public resolutions as making a formal prison sentence before 2027 unlikely, despite ongoing speculation about possible July proceedings. No new developments have altered that consensus in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$123,153 Vol.
$123,153 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$123,153 Vol.
$123,153 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia has remained under formal investigation by Chinese authorities since his January 2026 removal from the Central Military Commission over alleged serious violations of discipline and law, yet no trial date or sentencing has been announced as of mid-2026. Such high-level military probes in the People’s Liberation Army typically involve extended internal reviews, closed proceedings, and political negotiations that stretch well beyond immediate timelines, particularly for a 75-year-old former vice chairman viewed as a longtime Xi associate. Traders assess these procedural realities and historical patterns of delayed or non-public resolutions as making a formal prison sentence before 2027 unlikely, despite ongoing speculation about possible July proceedings. No new developments have altered that consensus in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$123,153終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia has remained under formal investigation by Chinese authorities since his January 2026 removal from the Central Military Commission over alleged serious violations of discipline and law, yet no trial date or sentencing has been announced as of mid-2026. Such high-level military probes in the People’s Liberation Army typically involve extended internal reviews, closed proceedings, and political negotiations that stretch well beyond immediate timelines, particularly for a 75-year-old former vice chairman viewed as a longtime Xi associate. Traders assess these procedural realities and historical patterns of delayed or non-public resolutions as making a formal prison sentence before 2027 unlikely, despite ongoing speculation about possible July proceedings. No new developments have altered that consensus in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$123,153終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia has remained under formal investigation by Chinese authorities since his January 2026 removal from the Central Military Commission over alleged serious violations of discipline and law, yet no trial date or sentencing has been announced as of mid-2026. Such high-level military probes in the People’s Liberation Army typically involve extended internal reviews, closed proceedings, and political negotiations that stretch well beyond immediate timelines, particularly for a 75-year-old former vice chairman viewed as a longtime Xi associate. Traders assess these procedural realities and historical patterns of delayed or non-public resolutions as making a formal prison sentence before 2027 unlikely, despite ongoing speculation about possible July proceedings. No new developments have altered that consensus in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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