Recent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January amid declining food prices and softer non-food components, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.6–1.0% outcome. Persistent weak domestic demand, limited pass-through from earlier stimulus measures, and subdued producer prices continue to cap upward pressures despite official GDP targets near 4.7% for the first half. Institutional projections, including ADB estimates around 1.2%, sit slightly above current prints, while risks from global commodity swings or further policy easing could shift probabilities within the lower ranges. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these shares incorporates the latest National Bureau of Statistics releases and forward-looking signals through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.6~1.0% 44%
0.1~0.5% 18.8%
1.1~1.5% 17%
2.0~2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 Vol.
$72,219 Vol.
<-1.0%
4%
-0.9~-0.5%
1%
-0.4~0.0%
3%
0.1~0.5%
19%
0.6~1.0%
44%
1.1~1.5%
17%
1.6~2.0%
5%
2.0~2.4%
6%
2.5%以上
<1%
0.6~1.0% 44%
0.1~0.5% 18.8%
1.1~1.5% 17%
2.0~2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 Vol.
$72,219 Vol.
<-1.0%
4%
-0.9~-0.5%
1%
-0.4~0.0%
3%
0.1~0.5%
19%
0.6~1.0%
44%
1.1~1.5%
17%
1.6~2.0%
5%
2.0~2.4%
6%
2.5%以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
マーケット開始日: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showing annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, the lowest reading since January amid declining food prices and softer non-food components, has anchored trader sentiment around the 0.6–1.0% outcome. Persistent weak domestic demand, limited pass-through from earlier stimulus measures, and subdued producer prices continue to cap upward pressures despite official GDP targets near 4.7% for the first half. Institutional projections, including ADB estimates around 1.2%, sit slightly above current prints, while risks from global commodity swings or further policy easing could shift probabilities within the lower ranges. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these shares incorporates the latest National Bureau of Statistics releases and forward-looking signals through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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