Bank of Canada monetary policy remains anchored around the 2% inflation target, with recent communications and economic data releases supporting market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026 annual CPI at 39.9%. Cooling labor market conditions, subdued wage growth, and declining commodity price pressures have reinforced expectations for gradual disinflation from prior peaks, though persistent shelter costs and global supply factors introduce upside risks priced into the 3.0–3.4% and 3.5–3.9% brackets. Traders view the 2.0–2.4% band as a plausible baseline scenario given current policy rates and forward guidance, while lower outcomes below 2.0% reflect limited downside momentum absent sharper economic contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI print and any FOMC-aligned global rate signals that could shift the implied path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.5～2.9％ 39.9%
2.0〜2.4％ 17.4%
3.0〜3.4％ 14.1%
1.5～1.9％ 13.4%
$38,063 Vol.
$38,063 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
3%
1.0～1.4％
5%
1.5～1.9％
13%
2.0〜2.4％
17%
2.5～2.9％
40%
3.0〜3.4％
14%
3.5〜3.9%
13%
4.0％以上
1%
2.5～2.9％ 39.9%
2.0〜2.4％ 17.4%
3.0〜3.4％ 14.1%
1.5～1.9％ 13.4%
$38,063 Vol.
$38,063 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
$1,081 Vol.
3%
1.0～1.4％
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1.5～1.9％
$3,350 Vol.
13%
2.0〜2.4％
$1,066 Vol.
17%
2.5～2.9％
$9,552 Vol.
40%
3.0〜3.4％
$13,753 Vol.
14%
3.5〜3.9%
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4.0％以上
$482 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Bank of Canada monetary policy remains anchored around the 2% inflation target, with recent communications and economic data releases supporting market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026 annual CPI at 39.9%. Cooling labor market conditions, subdued wage growth, and declining commodity price pressures have reinforced expectations for gradual disinflation from prior peaks, though persistent shelter costs and global supply factors introduce upside risks priced into the 3.0–3.4% and 3.5–3.9% brackets. Traders view the 2.0–2.4% band as a plausible baseline scenario given current policy rates and forward guidance, while lower outcomes below 2.0% reflect limited downside momentum absent sharper economic contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI print and any FOMC-aligned global rate signals that could shift the implied path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
音量
$38,063終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Bank of Canada monetary policy remains anchored around the 2% inflation target, with recent communications and economic data releases supporting market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026 annual CPI at 39.9%. Cooling labor market conditions, subdued wage growth, and declining commodity price pressures have reinforced expectations for gradual disinflation from prior peaks, though persistent shelter costs and global supply factors introduce upside risks priced into the 3.0–3.4% and 3.5–3.9% brackets. Traders view the 2.0–2.4% band as a plausible baseline scenario given current policy rates and forward guidance, while lower outcomes below 2.0% reflect limited downside momentum absent sharper economic contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI print and any FOMC-aligned global rate signals that could shift the implied path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
音量
$38,063終了日
2027/01/18マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bank of Canada monetary policy remains anchored around the 2% inflation target, with recent communications and economic data releases supporting market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% range for 2026 annual CPI at 39.9%. Cooling labor market conditions, subdued wage growth, and declining commodity price pressures have reinforced expectations for gradual disinflation from prior peaks, though persistent shelter costs and global supply factors introduce upside risks priced into the 3.0–3.4% and 3.5–3.9% brackets. Traders view the 2.0–2.4% band as a plausible baseline scenario given current policy rates and forward guidance, while lower outcomes below 2.0% reflect limited downside momentum absent sharper economic contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI print and any FOMC-aligned global rate signals that could shift the implied path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問