The July 2026 employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000—well below expectations—with downward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% partly due to a shrinking labor force. This softening follows a period when the rate hovered near 4.3-4.4% earlier in the year and aligns with FOMC June projections placing the 2026 median around 4.3%. Traders are monitoring upcoming data releases, including the September jobs report and remaining FOMC meetings, alongside inflation trends and monetary policy signals that could influence labor demand. Recent weakness has elevated focus on whether the rate will test higher levels before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$481,360 Vol.
2026/01/10
5.0%
10%
5.5%
8%
6.0%
7%
7.0%
5%
10.0%
3%
$481,360 Vol.
5.0%
$123,066 Vol.
10%
5.5%
$200,573 Vol.
8%
6.0%
$75,518 Vol.
7%
7.0%
$31,207 Vol.
5%
10.0%
$50,996 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The July 2026 employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000—well below expectations—with downward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% partly due to a shrinking labor force. This softening follows a period when the rate hovered near 4.3-4.4% earlier in the year and aligns with FOMC June projections placing the 2026 median around 4.3%. Traders are monitoring upcoming data releases, including the September jobs report and remaining FOMC meetings, alongside inflation trends and monetary policy signals that could influence labor demand. Recent weakness has elevated focus on whether the rate will test higher levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
音量
$481,360終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The July 2026 employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000—well below expectations—with downward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% partly due to a shrinking labor force. This softening follows a period when the rate hovered near 4.3-4.4% earlier in the year and aligns with FOMC June projections placing the 2026 median around 4.3%. Traders are monitoring upcoming data releases, including the September jobs report and remaining FOMC meetings, alongside inflation trends and monetary policy signals that could influence labor demand. Recent weakness has elevated focus on whether the rate will test higher levels before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$481,360終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2026 employment report showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000—well below expectations—with downward revisions to prior months and the unemployment rate easing to 4.1% partly due to a shrinking labor force. This softening follows a period when the rate hovered near 4.3-4.4% earlier in the year and aligns with FOMC June projections placing the 2026 median around 4.3%. Traders are monitoring upcoming data releases, including the September jobs report and remaining FOMC meetings, alongside inflation trends and monetary policy signals that could influence labor demand. Recent weakness has elevated focus on whether the rate will test higher levels before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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