Tight U.S. cattle supplies at multi-decade lows, stemming from prolonged herd contraction due to prior droughts, elevated feed costs, and high interest rates, have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to a record $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up 3% from March and nearly 15% year-over-year—per FRED series APU0000703112. USDA's May WASDE report further cut 2026 beef production to 25.547 billion pounds, signaling persistent tightness into 2027 despite modest beef cow herd stabilization near 28 million head. Polymarket traders reflect this in market-implied odds, pricing $7+ breach near-certainty (Yes 99¢), $8+ at 66¢ moderate probability, and $10+ at 23¢ amid robust demand and lean import reliance. Key catalysts include mid-month BLS May pricing data and June 20 Cattle on Feed report for placement trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,653 Vol.
2026/12/31
7.000ドル以上
76%
8.000ドル以上
43%
$9.000以上
38%
10.000ドル以上
18%
$18,653 Vol.
7.000ドル以上
$50 Vol.
76%
8.000ドル以上
$1,474 Vol.
43%
$9.000以上
$22 Vol.
38%
10.000ドル以上
$17,107 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies at multi-decade lows, stemming from prolonged herd contraction due to prior droughts, elevated feed costs, and high interest rates, have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to a record $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up 3% from March and nearly 15% year-over-year—per FRED series APU0000703112. USDA's May WASDE report further cut 2026 beef production to 25.547 billion pounds, signaling persistent tightness into 2027 despite modest beef cow herd stabilization near 28 million head. Polymarket traders reflect this in market-implied odds, pricing $7+ breach near-certainty (Yes 99¢), $8+ at 66¢ moderate probability, and $10+ at 23¢ amid robust demand and lean import reliance. Key catalysts include mid-month BLS May pricing data and June 20 Cattle on Feed report for placement trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$18,653終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies at multi-decade lows, stemming from prolonged herd contraction due to prior droughts, elevated feed costs, and high interest rates, have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to a record $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up 3% from March and nearly 15% year-over-year—per FRED series APU0000703112. USDA's May WASDE report further cut 2026 beef production to 25.547 billion pounds, signaling persistent tightness into 2027 despite modest beef cow herd stabilization near 28 million head. Polymarket traders reflect this in market-implied odds, pricing $7+ breach near-certainty (Yes 99¢), $8+ at 66¢ moderate probability, and $10+ at 23¢ amid robust demand and lean import reliance. Key catalysts include mid-month BLS May pricing data and June 20 Cattle on Feed report for placement trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$18,653終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies at multi-decade lows, stemming from prolonged herd contraction due to prior droughts, elevated feed costs, and high interest rates, have propelled BLS average ground beef prices to a record $6.899 per pound in April 2026—up 3% from March and nearly 15% year-over-year—per FRED series APU0000703112. USDA's May WASDE report further cut 2026 beef production to 25.547 billion pounds, signaling persistent tightness into 2027 despite modest beef cow herd stabilization near 28 million head. Polymarket traders reflect this in market-implied odds, pricing $7+ breach near-certainty (Yes 99¢), $8+ at 66¢ moderate probability, and $10+ at 23¢ amid robust demand and lean import reliance. Key catalysts include mid-month BLS May pricing data and June 20 Cattle on Feed report for placement trends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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