Recent Eurostat data showing euro area HICP inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by energy prices accelerating amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader consensus around elevated 2026 annual averages. This has positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in implied probabilities, reflecting ongoing pass-through to services and core measures near 2.5%. ECB June staff projections of 3.0% for 2026 and the SPF survey's 2.7% expectation highlight the balance of risks tilted upward from energy and indirect effects, while moderating food inflation and potential de-escalation provide downside offsets. With the next inflation release due in early September and the ECB maintaining a data-dependent stance, near-term prints will likely determine whether the market-implied distribution shifts away from the 2.8-3.0% and higher buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.1％以上 46.6%
2.8～3.0％ 20.0%
2.5～2.7％ 8.0%
2.2～2.4％ 6.6%
$106,211 Vol.
$106,211 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
6%
1.0〜1.2％
6%
1.3～1.5％
1%
1.6～1.8％
2%
1.9～2.1％
3%
2.2～2.4％
7%
2.5～2.7％
8%
2.8～3.0％
20%
3.1％以上
47%
3.1％以上 46.6%
2.8～3.0％ 20.0%
2.5～2.7％ 8.0%
2.2～2.4％ 6.6%
$106,211 Vol.
$106,211 Vol.
2027/01/18
1.0%未満
$4,375 Vol.
6%
1.0〜1.2％
$16,114 Vol.
6%
1.3～1.5％
$16,210 Vol.
1%
1.6～1.8％
$3,303 Vol.
2%
1.9～2.1％
$25,827 Vol.
3%
2.2～2.4％
$4,226 Vol.
7%
2.5～2.7％
$7,627 Vol.
8%
2.8～3.0％
$16,809 Vol.
20%
3.1％以上
$11,720 Vol.
47%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurostat data showing euro area HICP inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by energy prices accelerating amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader consensus around elevated 2026 annual averages. This has positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in implied probabilities, reflecting ongoing pass-through to services and core measures near 2.5%. ECB June staff projections of 3.0% for 2026 and the SPF survey's 2.7% expectation highlight the balance of risks tilted upward from energy and indirect effects, while moderating food inflation and potential de-escalation provide downside offsets. With the next inflation release due in early September and the ECB maintaining a data-dependent stance, near-term prints will likely determine whether the market-implied distribution shifts away from the 2.8-3.0% and higher buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
マーケット開始日： Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
音量
$106,211終了日
2027/01/19マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent Eurostat data showing euro area HICP inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by energy prices accelerating amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader consensus around elevated 2026 annual averages. This has positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in implied probabilities, reflecting ongoing pass-through to services and core measures near 2.5%. ECB June staff projections of 3.0% for 2026 and the SPF survey's 2.7% expectation highlight the balance of risks tilted upward from energy and indirect effects, while moderating food inflation and potential de-escalation provide downside offsets. With the next inflation release due in early September and the ECB maintaining a data-dependent stance, near-term prints will likely determine whether the market-implied distribution shifts away from the 2.8-3.0% and higher buckets.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
音量
$106,211終了日
2027/01/19マーケット開始日
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Eurostat data showing euro area HICP inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by energy prices accelerating amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, has anchored trader consensus around elevated 2026 annual averages. This has positioned the 3.1%+ outcome as the clear leader in implied probabilities, reflecting ongoing pass-through to services and core measures near 2.5%. ECB June staff projections of 3.0% for 2026 and the SPF survey's 2.7% expectation highlight the balance of risks tilted upward from energy and indirect effects, while moderating food inflation and potential de-escalation provide downside offsets. With the next inflation release due in early September and the ECB maintaining a data-dependent stance, near-term prints will likely determine whether the market-implied distribution shifts away from the 2.8-3.0% and higher buckets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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