Recent hawkish Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range anchor trader sentiment for the January 2027 FOMC decision. Elevated inflation, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and projected 2026 PCE near 3.7%, alongside stable 4.1% unemployment, has prompted the median dot plot to embed another hike this year and hold rates through 2027. Market-implied odds reflect this path, pricing in potential December tightening while discounting cuts absent clear disinflation. Key near-term catalysts include October and December meetings plus incoming CPI and employment data that could shift the balance between no change and a further 25-basis-point increase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 57%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 31%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,691 Vol.
$83,691 Vol.
2027/01/27
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
10%
No change
57%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
31%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
2%
No change 57%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ 31%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,691 Vol.
$83,691 Vol.
2027/01/27
50+ bps decrease
$14,114 Vol.
5%
25 bps decrease
$19,606 Vol.
10%
No change
$21,742 Vol.
57%
25ベーシスポイント引き上げ
$22,706 Vol.
31%
50ベーシスポイント以上の引き上げ
$5,523 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range anchor trader sentiment for the January 2027 FOMC decision. Elevated inflation, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and projected 2026 PCE near 3.7%, alongside stable 4.1% unemployment, has prompted the median dot plot to embed another hike this year and hold rates through 2027. Market-implied odds reflect this path, pricing in potential December tightening while discounting cuts absent clear disinflation. Key near-term catalysts include October and December meetings plus incoming CPI and employment data that could shift the balance between no change and a further 25-basis-point increase.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
音量
$83,691終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hawkish Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range anchor trader sentiment for the January 2027 FOMC decision. Elevated inflation, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and projected 2026 PCE near 3.7%, alongside stable 4.1% unemployment, has prompted the median dot plot to embed another hike this year and hold rates through 2027. Market-implied odds reflect this path, pricing in potential December tightening while discounting cuts absent clear disinflation. Key near-term catalysts include October and December meetings plus incoming CPI and employment data that could shift the balance between no change and a further 25-basis-point increase.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$83,691終了日
2027/01/27マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range anchor trader sentiment for the January 2027 FOMC decision. Elevated inflation, with August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and projected 2026 PCE near 3.7%, alongside stable 4.1% unemployment, has prompted the median dot plot to embed another hike this year and hold rates through 2027. Market-implied odds reflect this path, pricing in potential December tightening while discounting cuts absent clear disinflation. Key near-term catalysts include October and December meetings plus incoming CPI and employment data that could shift the balance between no change and a further 25-basis-point increase.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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