Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following his departure as chair in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his exit timing centers on political pressure from the Trump administration, potential legal challenges to removal attempts, and an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, which Powell has tied to his continued service. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation hearings underscore the tension between statutory term protections and administration efforts to influence board composition ahead of key monetary policy decisions. Market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether Powell will serve the full term or depart earlier amid evolving fiscal-monetary dynamics and regulatory scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$434,347 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
21%
$434,347 Vol.
12月31日
$147,755 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following his departure as chair in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his exit timing centers on political pressure from the Trump administration, potential legal challenges to removal attempts, and an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, which Powell has tied to his continued service. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation hearings underscore the tension between statutory term protections and administration efforts to influence board composition ahead of key monetary policy decisions. Market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether Powell will serve the full term or depart earlier amid evolving fiscal-monetary dynamics and regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$434,347終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following his departure as chair in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his exit timing centers on political pressure from the Trump administration, potential legal challenges to removal attempts, and an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, which Powell has tied to his continued service. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation hearings underscore the tension between statutory term protections and administration efforts to influence board composition ahead of key monetary policy decisions. Market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether Powell will serve the full term or depart earlier amid evolving fiscal-monetary dynamics and regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$434,347終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following his departure as chair in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his exit timing centers on political pressure from the Trump administration, potential legal challenges to removal attempts, and an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, which Powell has tied to his continued service. Recent FOMC communications and confirmation hearings underscore the tension between statutory term protections and administration efforts to influence board composition ahead of key monetary policy decisions. Market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around whether Powell will serve the full term or depart earlier amid evolving fiscal-monetary dynamics and regulatory scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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