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icon for トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？
政治·ジェローム・パウエル

トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？

icon for トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？
政治·ジェローム・パウエル

トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？

$15,174 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$15,174 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$8,050 Vol.

5%

12月31日

$7,124 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated April 2026 threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not depart after his term expires on May 15 have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on this market. Powell has signaled his intent to remain as a governor through 2028, citing ongoing investigations into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations as a potential pretext for undermining central-bank independence and interest-rate policy. These statements align with broader administration pressure for faster monetary easing amid persistent inflation data and labor-market readings, while legal experts continue to debate the president’s removal authority absent demonstrated cause. Market participants are closely watching any formal directives, Senate confirmation timelines for new nominees, or shifts in Treasury yields that could signal evolving policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,174
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated April 2026 threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if the chair does not depart after his term expires on May 15 have become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment on this market. Powell has signaled his intent to remain as a governor through 2028, citing ongoing investigations into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations as a potential pretext for undermining central-bank independence and interest-rate policy. These statements align with broader administration pressure for faster monetary easing amid persistent inflation data and labor-market readings, while legal experts continue to debate the president’s removal authority absent demonstrated cause. Market participants are closely watching any formal directives, Senate confirmation timelines for new nominees, or shifts in Treasury yields that could signal evolving policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$15,174
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で19%、次いで「June 30」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、19¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に19%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？」は$15.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で19%であり、市場がこの結果に19%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「June 30」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は、パウエル氏を連邦準備制度理事会メンバーとして解任しようとするだろうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。