Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか?
2 25%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
0
19%
1
22%
2
25%
3
24%
4人以上
18%
2 25%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
0
19%
1
22%
2
25%
3
24%
4人以上
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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