President Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, letter to Lisa Cook—giving her 21 days to address 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—has reignited legal uncertainty around removal of a sitting Federal Reserve governor. The move follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that preserved Cook’s due-process rights and emphasized central-bank independence, leaving her term intact through 2038. Markets currently assign negligible probability to near-term departure, reflecting the high legal and political barriers, absence of criminal charges, and institutional pushback favoring monetary-policy autonomy. Key near-term catalysts include Cook’s response deadline, any subsequent White House action, and potential further litigation that could test presidential authority over the Board of Governors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
9月30日
2%
10月31日
4%
11月30日
5%
12月31日
7%
$4,656 Vol.
9月30日
$1,246 Vol.
2%
10月31日
$1,236 Vol.
4%
11月30日
$939 Vol.
5%
12月31日
$1,235 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, letter to Lisa Cook—giving her 21 days to address 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—has reignited legal uncertainty around removal of a sitting Federal Reserve governor. The move follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that preserved Cook’s due-process rights and emphasized central-bank independence, leaving her term intact through 2038. Markets currently assign negligible probability to near-term departure, reflecting the high legal and political barriers, absence of criminal charges, and institutional pushback favoring monetary-policy autonomy. Key near-term catalysts include Cook’s response deadline, any subsequent White House action, and potential further litigation that could test presidential authority over the Board of Governors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$4,656終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, letter to Lisa Cook—giving her 21 days to address 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—has reignited legal uncertainty around removal of a sitting Federal Reserve governor. The move follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that preserved Cook’s due-process rights and emphasized central-bank independence, leaving her term intact through 2038. Markets currently assign negligible probability to near-term departure, reflecting the high legal and political barriers, absence of criminal charges, and institutional pushback favoring monetary-policy autonomy. Key near-term catalysts include Cook’s response deadline, any subsequent White House action, and potential further litigation that could test presidential authority over the Board of Governors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$4,656終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, letter to Lisa Cook—giving her 21 days to address 2021 mortgage-fraud allegations—has reignited legal uncertainty around removal of a sitting Federal Reserve governor. The move follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling that preserved Cook’s due-process rights and emphasized central-bank independence, leaving her term intact through 2038. Markets currently assign negligible probability to near-term departure, reflecting the high legal and political barriers, absence of criminal charges, and institutional pushback favoring monetary-policy autonomy. Key near-term catalysts include Cook’s response deadline, any subsequent White House action, and potential further litigation that could test presidential authority over the Board of Governors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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