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icon for ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?

ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?

icon for ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?

ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?

はい

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

12% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s confirmed plan to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has anchored trader sentiment toward the “No” outcome. Recent public statements show Powell discussing artificial intelligence’s role in boosting GDP and productivity while warning of labor-market disruption, yet contain no signals of interest in joining an AI lab or tech firm. With his governor term extending well beyond 2026 and no reported recruitment, compensation discussions, or leaks indicating an industry move, market-implied odds reflect limited upside for a near-term departure. Key catalysts ahead include any clarification on the duration of his board service or unexpected private-sector overtures, though current consensus treats continued public service as the baseline path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.

Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.

Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.

An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$55
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s confirmed plan to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has anchored trader sentiment toward the “No” outcome. Recent public statements show Powell discussing artificial intelligence’s role in boosting GDP and productivity while warning of labor-market disruption, yet contain no signals of interest in joining an AI lab or tech firm. With his governor term extending well beyond 2026 and no reported recruitment, compensation discussions, or leaks indicating an industry move, market-implied odds reflect limited upside for a near-term departure. Key catalysts ahead include any clarification on the duration of his board service or unexpected private-sector overtures, though current consensus treats continued public service as the baseline path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.

Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.

Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.

An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$55
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に加入しますか?」で9%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、9¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に9%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 10, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に加入しますか?」でわずか9%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェローム・パウエルは2026年にAI企業に入社しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。