Polymarket traders' consensus prices May 2026 annual CPI near 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30.5%, 4.3% at 27.5%, and 4.2% at 23.5%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% print—up from March's 3.3% and the highest since May 2023—driven by energy surges from Middle East conflicts and a 12% gasoline price spike. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 4.18% for May, while UBS sees 4.44%, creating tight competition hinging on oil pass-through, shelter momentum, and base effects. Core CPI rose to 2.8% annually, reinforcing hawkish Fed funds expectations amid no-cut pricing through 2026. Key catalyst: June 10 CPI release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.4%以上 31%
4.3% 28%
4.2% 24%
4.1% 8%
3.3%以下
2%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
2%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
3%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
24%
4.3%
28%
4.4%以上
31%
4.4%以上 31%
4.3% 28%
4.2% 24%
4.1% 8%
3.3%以下
2%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
1%
3.7%
2%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
3%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
24%
4.3%
28%
4.4%以上
31%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' consensus prices May 2026 annual CPI near 4.2-4.4%, with ≥4.4% at 30.5%, 4.3% at 27.5%, and 4.2% at 23.5%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after April's hotter-than-expected 3.8% print—up from March's 3.3% and the highest since May 2023—driven by energy surges from Middle East conflicts and a 12% gasoline price spike. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 4.18% for May, while UBS sees 4.44%, creating tight competition hinging on oil pass-through, shelter momentum, and base effects. Core CPI rose to 2.8% annually, reinforcing hawkish Fed funds expectations amid no-cut pricing through 2026. Key catalyst: June 10 CPI release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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