India's Reserve Bank of India projects average CPI inflation at 4.6 percent for fiscal 2026-27, citing rising energy costs and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted global crude prices. This outlook aligns with recent data showing a steady climb from a low of 0.25 percent in October 2025 to 3.48 percent in April 2026, with food and fuel components driving sequential gains despite government efforts to shield retail fuel prices. Analyst forecasts from Moody's and Goldman Sachs similarly cluster near 4.5-4.6 percent, reinforcing trader consensus that the annual average will exceed the 4.50 percent threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include May CPI prints and the RBI's next monetary policy review, where any sustained acceleration could further solidify these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.50%以上 79%
1.50%から2.24% 9.8%
3.00%~3.74% 7.1%
2.25%から2.99% 6.8%
$60,596 Vol.
$60,596 Vol.
0.75%未満
4%
0.75%〜1.49%
3%
1.50%から2.24%
10%
2.25%から2.99%
7%
3.00%~3.74%
7%
3.75%~4.49%
10%
4.50%以上
79%
4.50%以上 79%
1.50%から2.24% 9.8%
3.00%~3.74% 7.1%
2.25%から2.99% 6.8%
$60,596 Vol.
$60,596 Vol.
0.75%未満
4%
0.75%〜1.49%
3%
1.50%から2.24%
10%
2.25%から2.99%
7%
3.00%~3.74%
7%
3.75%~4.49%
10%
4.50%以上
79%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's Reserve Bank of India projects average CPI inflation at 4.6 percent for fiscal 2026-27, citing rising energy costs and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East that have lifted global crude prices. This outlook aligns with recent data showing a steady climb from a low of 0.25 percent in October 2025 to 3.48 percent in April 2026, with food and fuel components driving sequential gains despite government efforts to shield retail fuel prices. Analyst forecasts from Moody's and Goldman Sachs similarly cluster near 4.5-4.6 percent, reinforcing trader consensus that the annual average will exceed the 4.50 percent threshold. Key upcoming catalysts include May CPI prints and the RBI's next monetary policy review, where any sustained acceleration could further solidify these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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