Prime Minister Narendra Modi's strong position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, underpins the 89.8% implied probability for "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent BJP victories in state-level elections last week have further solidified party dominance, countering earlier setbacks like the April 2026 Constitution Amendment Bill defeat in Lok Sabha. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no credible reports of health issues, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures, traders see minimal near-term risks to his premiership. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic pressures, or alliance strains ahead of 2026 assembly polls in key states like West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$32,079 Vol.
$32,079 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$32,079 Vol.
$32,079 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's strong position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, underpins the 89.8% implied probability for "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent BJP victories in state-level elections last week have further solidified party dominance, countering earlier setbacks like the April 2026 Constitution Amendment Bill defeat in Lok Sabha. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no credible reports of health issues, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures, traders see minimal near-term risks to his premiership. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic pressures, or alliance strains ahead of 2026 assembly polls in key states like West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$32,079終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's strong position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, underpins the 89.8% implied probability for "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent BJP victories in state-level elections last week have further solidified party dominance, countering earlier setbacks like the April 2026 Constitution Amendment Bill defeat in Lok Sabha. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no credible reports of health issues, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures, traders see minimal near-term risks to his premiership. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic pressures, or alliance strains ahead of 2026 assembly polls in key states like West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$32,079終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's strong position as head of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, underpins the 89.8% implied probability for "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent BJP victories in state-level elections last week have further solidified party dominance, countering earlier setbacks like the April 2026 Constitution Amendment Bill defeat in Lok Sabha. With the next general election not due until 2029 and no credible reports of health issues, no-confidence motions, or coalition fractures, traders see minimal near-term risks to his premiership. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, economic pressures, or alliance strains ahead of 2026 assembly polls in key states like West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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