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政治·日本

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

icon for Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
政治·日本

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
9% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party secured a commanding supermajority in the House of Representatives following the February 8, 2026, snap election—its first post-dissolution vote—bolstering government stability and diminishing incentives for another dissolution before the term expires around 2030. Recent budget committee tensions and protests against constitutional revision efforts, including nationwide demonstrations in April, have not escalated into no-confidence threats or policy gridlock warranting a snap poll. With no official announcements of early election plans and Takaichi's high approval amid economic focus, trader consensus reflects low political risk, though scandals, economic shocks, or opposition gains in the upcoming House of Councillors race could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,264
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party secured a commanding supermajority in the House of Representatives following the February 8, 2026, snap election—its first post-dissolution vote—bolstering government stability and diminishing incentives for another dissolution before the term expires around 2030. Recent budget committee tensions and protests against constitutional revision efforts, including nationwide demonstrations in April, have not escalated into no-confidence threats or policy gridlock warranting a snap poll. With no official announcements of early election plans and Takaichi's high approval amid economic focus, trader consensus reflects low political risk, though scandals, economic shocks, or opposition gains in the upcoming House of Councillors race could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,264
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting House of Representatives of Japan is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Japan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。例えば、「はい」が9¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を9%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 23, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して9%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を9%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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