**No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026, as reflected in the 79.5% trader probability on “No.”** The court’s two oldest justices—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have made no retirement announcements and continue to serve without reported health issues that would prompt departure. In early August 2026, Alito directly addressed speculation by stating he intends to serve another term. Thomas has previously signaled a preference for remaining on the bench. Younger justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts and Sonia Sotomayor (both 71), show no signs of stepping down. Earlier 2026 discussion of strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no confirmed actions or vacancies, leaving the current nine-justice composition intact through the calendar year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
はい
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**No U.S. Supreme Court vacancy is expected in 2026, as reflected in the 79.5% trader probability on “No.”** The court’s two oldest justices—Clarence Thomas (age 78) and Samuel Alito (age 76)—have made no retirement announcements and continue to serve without reported health issues that would prompt departure. In early August 2026, Alito directly addressed speculation by stating he intends to serve another term. Thomas has previously signaled a preference for remaining on the bench. Younger justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts and Sonia Sotomayor (both 71), show no signs of stepping down. Earlier 2026 discussion of strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no confirmed actions or vacancies, leaving the current nine-justice composition intact through the calendar year.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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