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icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

icon for Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

新規
2026/12/31
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30, 2026

$0 Vol.

45%

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

48%

June 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans as of mid-2026, with sources close to the justice confirming he intends to remain on the Supreme Court through the year. Speculation intensified in April and May around White House efforts to encourage strategic departures by Thomas and Samuel Alito ahead of November midterms, aiming to secure Senate confirmation of replacements while Republicans hold the chamber. Thomas has long expressed a desire to serve for decades, previously referencing a timeline extending into the 2030s, and he approaches a potential longevity record in 2028. No health concerns have been publicly reported, and analysts note the justice's consistent resistance to timing exits around electoral cycles. Traders weigh these statements and historical patterns against the slim possibility of a late-term announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, 77, has given no public signals of retirement plans as of mid-2026, with sources close to the justice confirming he intends to remain on the Supreme Court through the year. Speculation intensified in April and May around White House efforts to encourage strategic departures by Thomas and Samuel Alito ahead of November midterms, aiming to secure Senate confirmation of replacements while Republicans hold the chamber. Thomas has long expressed a desire to serve for decades, previously referencing a timeline extending into the 2030s, and he approaches a potential longevity record in 2028. No health concerns have been publicly reported, and analysts note the justice's consistent resistance to timing exits around electoral cycles. Traders weigh these statements and historical patterns against the slim possibility of a late-term announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
音量
$0
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

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よくある質問

「Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「December 31, 2026」で48%、次いで「September 30, 2026」が45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、48¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に48%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 1, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「December 31, 2026」で48%であり、市場がこの結果に48%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「September 30, 2026」で45%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。