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icon for トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

icon for トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$272 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年9月30日

$99 Vol.

25%

2026年12月31日

$173 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tristan Buckmaster’s recent public allegations against OpenAI researchers, including claims of unauthorized use of his private Codex session data and pressure to exclude co-author Levent Alpöge from Anthropic, have sharply elevated the likelihood of litigation. The dispute centers on competing approaches to the Navier-Stokes equations using large language models, with Buckmaster alleging timing overlaps and threats tied to competitive tensions between the labs. OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman have pushed back, framing the work as independent and rejecting plagiarism claims. Traders are watching for a formal complaint filing, potential discovery into training data practices, or statements from involved parties that could accelerate or derail legal action in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$272
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tristan Buckmaster’s recent public allegations against OpenAI researchers, including claims of unauthorized use of his private Codex session data and pressure to exclude co-author Levent Alpöge from Anthropic, have sharply elevated the likelihood of litigation. The dispute centers on competing approaches to the Navier-Stokes equations using large language models, with Buckmaster alleging timing overlaps and threats tied to competitive tensions between the labs. OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman have pushed back, framing the work as independent and rejecting plagiarism claims. Traders are watching for a formal complaint filing, potential discovery into training data practices, or statements from involved parties that could accelerate or derail legal action in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$272
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 3:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年12月31日」で45%、次いで「2026年9月30日」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年12月31日」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2026年9月30日」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トリスタン・バックマスターがOpenAIを訴えるのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。